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Cost-effectiveness of two models of management for patients on chronic warfarin therapy--a Markov model analysis
Joyce H S You1, Fredric W H Chan, Raymond S M Wong
1Centre for Pharmacoeconomics Research, School of Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong. yceyou@cuhk.edu.hk
Insights
Anticoagulation clinics (AC) are more cost-effective than routine medical care (RMC) for managing warfarin therapy. AC services reduce adverse events and healthcare costs, benefiting public health organizations.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Pharmacotherapy
- Public Health
Background:
- Resource allocation for anticoagulation clinic (AC) services is a key concern for healthcare providers.
- Most anticoagulated patients in Hong Kong receive routine medical care (RMC) rather than AC management.
- A lack of local cost-effectiveness data for AC services may contribute to this trend.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the clinical and economic outcomes of anticoagulated patients managed by AC versus RMC.
- To evaluate these outcomes from the perspective of a public health organization in Hong Kong.
Main Methods:
- A 10-year Markov model simulated economic and clinical outcomes for chronic warfarin therapy.
- Transition probabilities were sourced from existing literature.
- Resource utilization data were collected from Hong Kong patients in AC and RMC settings.
- Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess model robustness.
Main Results:
- The AC group experienced fewer events (9.5 per 100 patient-years) and lower direct medical costs (USD 840 per patient-year) compared to the RMC group (19.3 events and USD 1,179).
- Model outcomes were sensitive to variations in major bleeding probability within the AC group.
Conclusions:
- Coordinated care in anticoagulation clinics is more cost-effective than routine medical care for warfarin management.
- AC services offer a favorable economic and clinical profile for public health organizations in Hong Kong.
Abstract:
Allocation of additional resources for establishing or expanding anticoagulation clinic (AC) services is a significant concern for healthcare decision-makers when the payer is also the provider of the healthcare system. The majority of anticoagulated patients in Hong Kong are managed by routine medical care (RMC) instead of ACs, possibly due to the lack of local cost-effectiveness analysis of the AC setting. The aim was to compare the clinical and economic outcomes of anticoagulated patients who were managed by AC or RMC from the perspective of a public health organization in Hong Kong. A Markov model was designed to simulate, over 10 years, the economic and clinical outcomes of patients receiving chronic warfarin therapy managed by AC or RMC. The transition probabilities were derived from literature. Resource utilization was retrieved from patients managed by AC and RMC in Hong Kong. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to examine the robustness of the model. The total number of events per 100 patient-years and the direct medical cost per patient-year in the AC and RMC groups were 9.5 and USD 840, and, 19.3 and USD 1,179, respectively. The results of the model were sensitive to the variation of the probability of major bleeding in the AC group. In conclusion, the coordinated care provided by an anticoagulation clinic appears to be more cost-effective than routine medical care in the management of warfarin therapy from the perspective of public health organization in Hong Kong.
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