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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
How aggressive should we be in patients with stage IV colorectal cancer?
Li-Jen Kuo1, Shuh-Yan Leu, Mei-Ching Liu
1Division of Colorectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Koo Foundation Sun Yat-Sen Cancer Center Hospital, 125 Lih-Der Road, Pei-Tou District, Taipei 112, Taiwan.
Purpose:
The prognosis for metastatic colorectal cancer is grave. Whether to perform surgical resection or palliative treatment remains controversial for this advanced disease. In this retrospective study, we collected data from patients with Stage IV colorectal cancer to identify prognostic factors for predicting selection criteria for surgical treatment in patients with metastatic disease.
Methods:
A retrospective chart review was performed for patients treated from 1992 to 1999 from the Koo Foundation Sun Yat-Sen Cancer Center Tumor Registry. Seventy-four patients were identified as having Stage IV disease at the time of diagnosis. Data concerning the patients' demographics, laboratory results, operative procedure, mortality, morbidity, and survival were collected. Independent variables and survival time were analyzed by the independent t-test method. The difference was considered statistically significant at P < 0.05.
Results:
Overall survival time for the patients with Stage IV colorectal cancer was 16.1 months. Survival in the curative resection group was significantly longer than that in the noncurative group (31.9 vs. 12.7; P < 0.016). The operative mortality and morbidity rates were 5.6 percent (4 of 71) and 21.1 percent (15 of 71), respectively. The two most common complications were leakage at the site of anastomosis and urinary tract infection. Based on these results, we conclude that patients older than 65 years, with metastases at multiple sites, intestinal obstruction, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level > or =500 ng/ml, lactate dehydrogenase > or =350 units/liter, hemoglobin <10 mg/dl, or hepatic parenchymal replacement by tumor >25 percent have poor prognosis for surgical intervention.
Conclusion:
Whether to perform primary tumor resection in patients with asymptomatic Stage IV colorectal cancer remains controversial; however, the more aggressively we perform radical resection and metastasectomy to selected patients, the more survival benefits the patients obtain.
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