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Published on: August 9, 2011
Intensity of rainfall and severity of melioidosis, Australia
Bart J Currie1, Susan P Jacups
1Menzies School of Health Research and Flinders University, Darwin, Northern Territory, Australia. bart@menzies.edu.au
Abstract:
In a 12-year prospective study of 318 culture-confirmed cases of melioidosis from the Top End of the Northern Territory of Australia, rainfall data for individual patient locations were correlated with patient risk factors, clinical parameters, and outcomes. Median rainfall in the 14 days before admission was highest (211 mm) for those dying with melioidosis, in comparison to 110 mm for those surviving (p=0.0002). Median 14-day rainfall was also significantly higher for those with pneumonia. On univariate analysis, a prior 14-day rainfall of 125 mm was significantly correlated with pneumonia (odds ratio [OR] 1.70 [confidence interval [CI] 1.09 to 2.65]), bacteremia (OR 1.93 [CI 1.24 to 3.02]), septic shock (OR 1.94 [CI 1.14 to 3.29]), and death (OR 2.50 [CI 1.36 to 4.57]). On multivariate analysis, rainfall in the 14 days before admission was an independent risk factor for pneumonia (p=0.023), bacteremic pneumonia (p=0.001), septic shock (p=0.005), and death (p<0.0001). Heavy monsoonal rains and winds may cause a shift towards inhalation of Burkholderia pseudomallei.
Insights
Heavy rainfall significantly increases the risk of melioidosis, a serious bacterial infection. Higher 14-day rainfall before admission was linked to increased pneumonia, septic shock, and death from melioidosis.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Microbiology
- Infectious Diseases Epidemiology
Background:
- Melioidosis, caused by Burkholderia pseudomallei, is endemic in Northern Australia.
- Environmental factors, particularly rainfall, are suspected to influence disease transmission.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between rainfall patterns and melioidosis risk, clinical presentation, and outcomes.
Main Methods:
- A 12-year prospective study analyzed 318 culture-confirmed melioidosis cases.
- Rainfall data at patient locations were correlated with clinical parameters and outcomes.
Main Results:
- Higher median rainfall in the 14 days before admission was associated with increased mortality (211 mm vs. 110 mm).
- Significant correlations were found between 14-day rainfall (≥125 mm) and pneumonia, bacteremia, septic shock, and death.
- Multivariate analysis confirmed rainfall as an independent risk factor for severe melioidosis outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Pre-admission rainfall is a significant environmental risk factor for melioidosis.
- Heavy rainfall may increase inhalation exposure to Burkholderia pseudomallei, leading to severe disease.
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