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Recurrence after a first unprovoked cryptogenic/idiopathic seizure in children: a prospective study from São Paulo,
Anna E Scotoni1, Maria L G Manreza, Marilisa M Guerreiro
1Department of Neurology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Insights
The recurrence risk for a first unprovoked seizure in children from a developing country is similar to developed nations. An abnormal electroencephalogram (EEG) is a key predictor of seizure recurrence in pediatric patients.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Neurology
- Epileptology
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- First unprovoked seizures in children require accurate recurrence risk assessment.
- Understanding recurrence predictors is crucial for effective management and prognosis.
- Data from developing countries are essential for global health insights.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the recurrence risk following a first unprovoked seizure in pediatric populations in a developing country.
- To identify predictors of seizure recurrence in children and adolescents.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study involving 213 children and adolescents with a first unprovoked seizure.
- Electroencephalogram (EEG) and computed tomography (CT) were utilized for patient evaluation.
- Cox proportional hazards and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were employed to assess recurrence predictors.
Main Results:
- A 34% recurrence rate was observed, with a mean time to recurrence of 12 months.
- Abnormal EEG findings were significantly associated with increased seizure recurrence risk.
- CT abnormalities, including calcifications, were infrequent and not predictive of recurrence.
Conclusions:
- The recurrence risk of unprovoked seizures in children from developing countries mirrors that in developed countries.
- Abnormal EEG is a significant risk factor for recurrence in cryptogenic/idiopathic seizures.
- CT-detected calcifications do not appear to elevate the risk of seizure recurrence.
Purpose:
To evaluate the recurrence risk after a first unprovoked seizure in a large population of children and adolescents of a developing country.
Methods:
This prospective study was conducted at two tertiary hospitals, between September 1989 and August 1998. Children were enrolled if they had a first unprovoked cryptogenic/idiopathic seizure and maximal interval to the enrollment < or =90 days. EEG and computed tomography (CT) were performed in most patients. Potential predictors of recurrence were compared by using the Cox proportional hazards model in univariate and multivariate analyses. Survival analysis was performed by using the Kaplan-Meier curves.
Results:
Two hundred thirteen children were included. Recurrence occurred in 34% of the patients, and mean time for recurrence was 12 months. Statistical analysis showed significance for seizure recurrence only for patients with abnormal EEGs. CT was performed in 182 patients, and abnormalities were found in 9.5%. Small calcifications were the most frequent finding, and this was not a predictor for recurrence.
Conclusions:
The risk of recurrence after a first unprovoked seizure in children from a developing country is similar to that found in developed countries. An abnormal EEG is a risk factor for seizure recurrence in children with a cryptogenic/idiopathic seizure. Calcifications on CT do not increase the risk of recurrence.
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