Comparison of short-term mortality risk factors for valve replacement versus coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Sheila C Gardner1, Gary K Grunwald, John S Rumsfeld

  • 1Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Denver, Colorado, USA.

Insights

Risk factors for short-term mortality after heart surgery are similar for coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) and valve replacement. Preoperative functional status is a key predictor for valve surgery mortality.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Surgery
  • Health Services Research
  • Outcomes Research

Background:

  • Established risk factors for short-term mortality exist for coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) only procedures.
  • Limited understanding of how risk factors for short-term mortality in valve replacement procedures (with or without CABG) compare to CABG-only procedures.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare risk factors for short-term mortality between CABG-only surgery and valve replacement surgery (aortic valve replacement [AVR] or mitral valve replacement [MVR]), with or without concomitant CABG.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 65,585 Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) records from October 1991 to March 2001.
  • Comparison of risk factors across three patient subgroups: CABG only (n=56,318), AVR +/- CABG (n=7450), and MVR +/- CABG (n=1817).
  • Multivariable logistic regression used to compare the relative risk magnitude of 19 candidate predictor variables.

Main Results:

  • Partially or totally dependent functional status significantly increased short-term mortality risk for AVR (OR 1.64) and MVR (OR 2.21) patients, but not CABG-only patients (OR 1.04).
  • Previous heart surgery and New York Heart Association functional class III/IV symptoms posed a greater mortality risk for CABG-only patients compared to valve subgroups.

Conclusions:

  • Risk factors for short-term mortality are generally consistent between valve replacement and CABG surgery.
  • Preoperative functional status is a critical and unique predictor of mortality specifically for valve surgery patients.
Abstract

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