Predicting the growth of Salmonella typhimurium on beef by using the temperature function integration technique

Lag and generation times for the growth of Salmonella typhimurium on sterile lean beef were modeled as functions of cooling time under various carcass-chilling scenarios. Gompertz growth models were fit to the log10 colony counts over time at each of six temperatures in the range of 15 to 40 degrees C. Lag and generation times were defined as the points at which the second and first derivatives, respectively, of each growth curve attained a maximum. Generation time and lag time parameters were modeled as functions of temperature by use of exponential-decay models. The models were applied to typical beef carcass-cooling scenarios to predict the potential growth of S. typhimurium during the cooling of beef. Validation studies indicated no significant difference between the observed and predicted bacterial populations on inoculated lean and fatty beef tissues cooled at either 6 or 9 degrees C/h.