ECG abnormalities in the elderly: prevalence, time and generation trends and association with mortality

Electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities are often found in older patients but relatively few epidemiological studies have been performed. This study describes: a) cross-sectional differences in ECG abnormalities among three 70-year-old cohorts born over a period of 30 years; b) longitudinal changes in ECG abnormalities from the age of 70 to 85; and c) the relationship between ECG abnormalities at age 70 and subsequent 10- and 15-year mortality in men and women.

Trends in the prevalence of ECG abnormalities were investigated among 2100 70-year olds (994 men, 1106 women) from three cohorts born in 1901/02 (I), 1911/12 (III) and 1930 (VI). Longitudinal changes and mortality risks were investigated among 973 70-year olds (449 men and 524 women) from cohort I, which was followed from 1971 until 2001.

In both sexes, the prevalence of ECG abnormalities was significantly lower in the later-born cohorts. From age 70 to 85, there was an increase in both men and women of large or intermediate Q-waves, left axis deviation, negative T-waves (0-5 mm), complete right bundle branch block (RBBB), and atrial fibrillation or flutter. Compared with those with no ECG abnormalities, the mortality risk was higher among individuals with large and intermediate Q-waves and negative T-waves (> or = 1 mm) in both sexes, and STJ depression > or = 0.5 mm and complete LBBB together with complete RBBB and intraventricular block; QRS > or = 0.12 sec in men only.

ECG abnormalities are frequent in the elderly, they increase with age, and are associated with increased mortality.