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Do well-publicized risk-adjusted outcomes reports affect hospital volume?
1Division of General Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, and the Center for Health Services Research in Primary Care, University of California, Davis School of Medicine, Sacramento, 95817, USA. psromano@ucdavis.edu
Insights
Hospital report cards show modest, short-term patient volume changes. Effects were mainly seen in New York for white Medicare patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Health Economics
- Public Health Policy
Background:
- Hospital performance report cards are widely used but their actual impact on patient volume is not well understood.
- Assessing the influence of public performance data on hospital utilization is crucial for healthcare policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if hospitals identified as performance outliers experience changes in patient volume post-report card publication.
- To determine if favorable outliers attract more patients for related conditions or from wider geographic areas.
- To examine if disadvantaged patient groups respond differently to hospital performance data.
Main Methods:
- Time-series analysis using linear and autoregressive models.
- Studied patient admissions for coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) mortality in New York and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) mortality and postdiskectomy complications in California.
- Analyzed observed versus expected hospital volume, stratified by demographics and insurance, adjusting for confounders.
Main Results:
- No significant volume changes for AMI outliers in California; slight increase for low-complication diskectomy outliers.
- In New York, low-mortality CABG outliers saw increased volume, while high-mortality outliers saw decreased volume shortly after report card release.
- Impact was most pronounced among white patients with HMO coverage (California) and white/other patients with Medicare (New York).
Conclusions:
- Patient volume effects from hospital report cards are generally modest and transient.
- The impact is largely concentrated among specific demographic groups, such as white Medicare patients in New York.
- Further research is needed to understand the broader implications for healthcare access and equity.
Background:
Report cards on hospital performance are common but have uncertain impact.
Objectives:
The objective of this study was to determine whether hospitals recognized as performance outliers experience volume changes after publication of a report card. Secondary objectives were to test whether favorable outliers attract more patients with related conditions, or from outside their catchment areas; and whether disadvantaged groups are less responsive to report cards.
Study Design:
We used a time-series analysis using linear and autoregressive models.
Subjects:
We studied patients admitted to nonfederal hospitals designated as outliers in reports on coronary bypass surgery (CABG) mortality in New York, acute myocardial infarction (AMI) mortality in California, and postdiskectomy complications in California.
Measures:
We studied observed versus expected hospital volume for topic and related conditions and procedures, by month/quarter after a report card, with and without stratification by age, race/ethnicity, insurance, and catchment area. Potential confounders included statewide prevalence, prereport hospital volume and market share, and unrelated volume.
Results:
In California, low-mortality and high-mortality outliers did not experience changes in AMI volume after adjusting for autocorrelation. Low-complication outliers for lumbar diskectomy experienced slightly increased volume in autoregressive models. No other cohorts demonstrated consistent trends. In New York, low-mortality outliers experienced significantly increased CABG volume in the first month after publication, whereas high-mortality outliers experienced decreased volume in the second month. The strongest effects were among white patients and those with HMO coverage in California, and among white or other patients and those with Medicare in New York.
Conclusions:
Volume effects were modest, transient, and largely limited to white Medicare patients in New York.
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