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Hemoglobin A1c level and future cardiovascular events among women
Gavin J Blake1, Aruna D Pradhan, JoAnn E Manson
1Cardiovascular Division, the Center for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, and the Division of Preventive Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass, USA. blake_gj@yahoo.com
Insights
Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels correlate with cardiovascular risk in women without diabetes, but this association is mainly due to other risk factors. Diabetes mellitus itself is a significant independent predictor of cardiovascular events.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels, a measure of blood glucose control, are being investigated for their role in cardiovascular risk.
- Previous data suggest a link between HbA1c and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population, but prospective data in women without diabetes are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To prospectively evaluate the association between HbA1c levels and incident cardiovascular events in women without pre-existing cardiovascular disease or diabetes mellitus.
Main Methods:
- A nested case-control study was conducted within the Women's Health Study cohort.
- 464 women with incident myocardial infarction, stroke, or coronary revascularization were matched with 928 controls free of cardiovascular events.
- Follow-up averaged 7 years.
Main Results:
- Among women without diabetes or elevated baseline HbA1c, higher HbA1c levels were significantly associated with increased future cardiovascular events (crude RR 2.25 for highest vs. lowest quartile).
- This association was attenuated and became non-significant after adjusting for other cardiovascular risk factors.
- In contrast, diabetes mellitus remained a strong independent predictor of cardiovascular risk, irrespective of HbA1c levels.
Conclusions:
- HbA1c is associated with future cardiovascular risk in women without diabetes, but this is largely explained by its correlation with other risk factors.
- Diabetes mellitus is a potent independent determinant of cardiovascular risk, even when HbA1c levels are considered.
Background:
Available data suggest that hemoglobin A(1c) (A(1c)), also known as glycosylated hemoglobin, levels may be related to cardiovascular risk in the general population without diabetes mellitus. We sought to test this hypothesis prospectively in a cohort of women without overt cardiovascular disease.
Methods:
We conducted a nested case-control study of the Women's Health Study cohort. We identified 464 case patients with incident myocardial infarction, stroke, or coronary revascularization and 928 unmatched control subjects who remained free of cardiovascular events at case diagnosis. The mean follow-up was 7 years.
Results:
Of the overall study population, 136 had a history of diabetes mellitus or an overtly elevated baseline A(1c) level (>6.4%) and were excluded from the primary analyses. Among women without diabetes mellitus or an elevated baseline A(1c) level, mean +/- SD baseline levels of A(1c) were significantly higher among future cases than controls (5.47% +/- 0.27% vs 5.37% +/- 0.22%; P<.001). The crude relative risks (RRs) of incident cardiovascular events for increasing quartiles of A(1c) were 1.00, 0.98, 1.33, and 2.25 (95% confidence interval [CI] for the highest vs the lowest quartile, 1.59-3.18). The A(1c) levels correlated with several other traditional cardiovascular risk factors, and in fully adjusted models, the predictive effect of A(1c) was attenuated and not significant (RR for the highest vs the lowest quartile, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.65-1.54). In contrast, in the population including women with diabetes mellitus at enrollment, diabetes mellitus (RR, 4.97; 95% CI, 2.81-8.77) remained a strong independent determinant of cardiovascular risk in fully adjusted analyses, while A(1c) levels did not (RR for the highest vs the lowest quartile, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.73-1.71).
Conclusions:
The A(1c) level is associated with future cardiovascular risk among women without diabetes mellitus, but this relationship is largely attributable to a strong correlation with other cardiovascular risk factors. In contrast, diabetes mellitus is a strong independent determinant of cardiovascular risk, even after adjustment for A(1c) levels.
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