Hemoglobin A1c level and future cardiovascular events among women

Gavin J Blake1, Aruna D Pradhan, JoAnn E Manson

  • 1Cardiovascular Division, the Center for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, and the Division of Preventive Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass, USA. blake_gj@yahoo.com

Insights

Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels correlate with cardiovascular risk in women without diabetes, but this association is mainly due to other risk factors. Diabetes mellitus itself is a significant independent predictor of cardiovascular events.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Endocrinology
  • Preventive Medicine

Background:

  • Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels, a measure of blood glucose control, are being investigated for their role in cardiovascular risk.
  • Previous data suggest a link between HbA1c and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population, but prospective data in women without diabetes are limited.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To prospectively evaluate the association between HbA1c levels and incident cardiovascular events in women without pre-existing cardiovascular disease or diabetes mellitus.

Main Methods:

  • A nested case-control study was conducted within the Women's Health Study cohort.
  • 464 women with incident myocardial infarction, stroke, or coronary revascularization were matched with 928 controls free of cardiovascular events.
  • Follow-up averaged 7 years.

Main Results:

  • Among women without diabetes or elevated baseline HbA1c, higher HbA1c levels were significantly associated with increased future cardiovascular events (crude RR 2.25 for highest vs. lowest quartile).
  • This association was attenuated and became non-significant after adjusting for other cardiovascular risk factors.
  • In contrast, diabetes mellitus remained a strong independent predictor of cardiovascular risk, irrespective of HbA1c levels.

Conclusions:

  • HbA1c is associated with future cardiovascular risk in women without diabetes, but this is largely explained by its correlation with other risk factors.
  • Diabetes mellitus is a potent independent determinant of cardiovascular risk, even when HbA1c levels are considered.
Abstract

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