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Should beta-blockers be given to patients with heart disease and peanut-induced anaphylaxis? A decision analysis
John A TenBrook1, Michael P Wolf, Stuart N Hoffman
1Division of Clinical Decision Making, Informatics, and Telemedicine, Department of Medicine, Tufts-New England Medical Center, 750 Washington Street, Boston, MA 02111, USA.
Background:
Beta-blocker therapy postmyocardial infarction is generally recommended because it reduces mortality. However, beta-blockers may increase anaphylaxis mortality in the growing population of patients with peanut-induced anaphylaxis.
Objective:
We sought to assess the risks and benefits of beta-blocker therapy among patients with peanut allergy and heart disease.
Methods:
We created a Markov model for patients with heart disease at risk for peanut-induced anaphylaxis to compare life expectancy with the following strategies: (1) beta-blocker and (2) no beta-blocker. Meta-analysis and a literature review were used to estimate model parameters. We performed sensitivity analysis to explore parameter uncertainty.
Results:
For peanut-allergic patients who are postmyocardial infarction or who have congestive heart failure, the heart disease benefit of beta-blockers outweighs the increased likelihood of dying from anaphylaxis, increasing life expectancy by 9.4 and 17.4 months, respectively. Beta-blocker was preferred unless (1) the annual rate of moderate to severe anaphylaxis exceeded 6.0% for postmyocardial infarction and 15% for congestive heart failure patients; (2) beta-blocker therapy increased the incidence of moderate to severe anaphylaxis >2.5-fold for postmyocardial infarction and >5.8-fold for congestive heart failure patients; (3) anaphylaxis case fatality exceeded 6.5% postmyocardial infarction; or (4) beta-blocker therapy increased anaphylaxis case fatality >25-fold postmyocardial infarction.
Conclusion:
Our results suggest that for patients postmyocardial infarction or with congestive heart failure who are at risk for peanut-induced anaphylaxis, beta-blocker use should still improve survival. However, the epidemiology of anaphylaxis and effects of beta-blocker therapy on anaphylaxis incidence and mortality require further study.
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