Novel scoring functions comprising QXP, SASA, and protein side-chain entropy terms

Novel scoring functions that predict the affinity of a ligand for its receptor have been developed. They were built with several statistical tools (partial least squares, genetic algorithms, neural networks) and trained on a data set of 100 crystal structures of receptor-ligand complexes, with affinities spanning 10 log units. The new scoring functions contain both descriptors generated by the QXP docking program and new descriptors that were developed in-house. These new descriptors are based on solvent accessible surface areas and account for conformational entropy changes and desolvation effects of both ligand and receptor upon binding. The predictive r(2) values for a test set of 24 complexes are in the 0.712-0.741 range and RMS prediction errors in the 1.09-1.16 log K(d) range. Inclusion of the new descriptors led to significant improvements in affinity prediction, compared to scoring functions based on QXP descriptors alone. However, the QXP descriptors by themselves perform better in binding mode prediction. The performance of the linear models is comparable to that of the neural networks. The new functions perform very well, but they still need to be validated as universal tools for the prediction of binding affinity.