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Increased Medicare expenditures for physicians' services: what are the causes?
Melinda J Beeuwkes Buntin1, Jose J Escarcé, Dana Goldman
1RAND, 1200 South Hayes St., Arlington, VA 22202, USA. buntin@rand.org
Summary
Medicare physician services volume and intensity rose over 30% from 1993-1998. This increase was driven equally by beneficiary changes and a general rise in care utilization across all patient groups.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Geriatric Medicine
- Healthcare Policy
Background:
- Rising expenditures for physician services pose financial challenges.
- Scheduled decreases in Medicare payments for physician services necessitate understanding utilization trends.
- Medicare beneficiaries represent a significant and growing patient population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify the sources of change in the volume and intensity of physician services utilized by Medicare beneficiaries.
- To quantify the contributions of beneficiary characteristics versus general utilization increases.
- To inform policy decisions regarding Medicare physician payments and service delivery.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of Medicare claims data from 1993 to 1998.
- Statistical modeling to assess changes in service volume and intensity.
- Decomposition of utilization changes based on beneficiary demographics, health status, and care management enrollment.
Main Results:
- Per capita volume and intensity of physician services increased by over 30% between 1993 and 1998.
- Beneficiary demographic shifts, health conditions, and managed care enrollment accounted for at most half of this increase.
- The remaining half of the increase was attributed to a general rise in the utilization of physician services across all beneficiary categories.
Conclusions:
- Medicare physician service utilization significantly increased during the study period.
- Both patient-specific factors and a general trend towards increased care contributed to this rise.
- Understanding these drivers is crucial for managing healthcare costs and ensuring appropriate care delivery within the Medicare program.