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Identifying Coronary Artery Calcification on Non-gated Computed Tomography Scans
Published on: August 28, 2018
Using the coronary artery calcium score to predict coronary heart disease events: a systematic review and
Mark J Pletcher1, Jeffrey A Tice, Michael Pignone
1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, 500 Parnassus Ave, MU 420 West, Box 0560, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA. mpletcher@epi.ucsf.edu
Insights
The coronary artery calcium score independently predicts coronary heart disease events. This measurement improves risk assessment for primary prevention in high-risk patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Primary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD) is crucial for high-risk individuals.
- Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring is a proposed method to enhance risk assessment.
- The added predictive value of CAC scoring beyond standard risk factors was previously unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring provides independent predictive information for coronary heart disease (CHD) events.
- To evaluate the utility of CAC scoring in risk stratification for primary prevention.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of studies published between 1980 and 2003.
- Inclusion of studies measuring CAC score via electron beam computed tomography in asymptomatic subjects with subsequent CHD event follow-up.
- Meta-analysis of adjusted relative risks for different CAC score categories using a random-effects model.
Main Results:
- Meta-analysis of 4 studies showed an adjusted relative risk of 2.1 (95% CI, 1.6-2.9) for a CAC score of 1-100 compared to 0.
- Higher CAC scores (101-400 and >400) demonstrated progressively higher relative risks, ranging from 3.0 to 17.0.
- Significant heterogeneity among studies was observed, potentially explained by differences in outcome adjudication, risk factor assessment, and technical parameters.
Conclusions:
- The coronary artery calcium score is an independent predictor of coronary heart disease events.
- CAC scoring offers valuable information for refining risk assessment in asymptomatic individuals.
- Further research may clarify the impact of study variations on CAC score predictive accuracy.
Background:
Primary prevention of coronary heart disease is most appropriate for patients at relatively high risk. Measurement of coronary artery calcium has been proposed as a way to improve risk assessment, but it is unknown whether it adds predictive information to standard risk factor assessment.
Methods:
We systematically searched electronic databases for relevant articles published between January 1, 1980, and March 19, 2003, and hand searched bibliographies. We included studies that reported measuring the coronary artery calcium score by electron beam computed tomography in asymptomatic subjects and subsequent follow-up of those patients for coronary events and that presented score-specific relative risks, adjusted for established risk factors. Two abstractors verified inclusion criteria and abstracted data from each study. We estimated adjusted relative risks associated with 3 standard categories of coronary artery calcium scores (1-100, 101-400, and >400), compared with a score of 0, and used a random-effects model for meta-analysis.
Results:
Meta-analysis of the 4 studies meeting inclusion criteria yielded a summary adjusted relative risk of 2.1 (95% confidence interval, 1.6-2.9) for a coronary artery calcium score of 1 to 100. Relative risk estimates for higher calcium scores were higher, ranging from 3.0 to 17.0 but varied significantly among studies. Subgroup analyses suggested that differences among studies in outcome adjudication (blinded or not), measurement of other risk factors (direct or by patient history), tomographic slice thickness (3 or 6 mm), and/or proportion of female study subjects may account for this heterogeneity.
Conclusion:
The coronary artery calcium score is an independent predictor of coronary heart disease events.
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