Predicting the recurrence/metastasis of stage II and III breast cancer with lymph node metastasis

This study compared prediction of the recurrence of breast cancer by detection of occult neoplastic cells (ONCs) in lymph nodes or by using the criteria for a high risk of recurrence and metastasis of gastric/large bowel cancer. The subjects were 45 patients with stage II and III node-positive breast cancer. Prediction of recurrence by detection of ONCs showed a sensitivity of 78.6% (11/14), a false-negative rate of 21.4% (3/14), a specificity of 96.4% (30/31), a false-positive rate of 3.2% (1/31), and an accuracy of 87.7% in patients with stage II and III node-positive cancer. Prediction of recurrence based on positivity for at least 2 of the high-risk criteria showed a sensitivity of 92.9% (13/14), a false-negative rate of 7.1% (1/14), a specificity of 87.1% (27/31), a false-positive rate of 12.9% (4/31), and an accuracy of 90.0% in patients with stage II and III node-positive cancer. These results suggest that ONCs plus the high-risk criteria are useful for predicting recurrence/metastasis of stage II and III node-positive breast cancer during the early postoperative period with a high sensitivity and accuracy.