Death certification and coding for ischaemic heart disease in Tasmania

Official records show that the rates of mortality from ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in Tasmania have been the highest of all the Australian states for most of the past decade. This study assesses the accuracy of the official Tasmanian mortality data for IHD in 1987 and 1988 for males aged 25 to 74 years using routinely available clinical and pathological data supplemented by information from the attending doctor. Our findings show that a death officially coded to ICD 9 rubrics 410-414 (IHD) in Tasmania has 94% sensitivity and a positive predictive value of 90% for fatal definite acute myocardial infarction or possible coronary death as defined by the WHO. Comparison of our results with those of two earlier studies undertaken in Australian mainland centres indicates that differences in the official statistics for coronary mortality between Tasmania and the mainland states reflect true differences in the risk of coronary death. While the results from three Australian studies suggest that the routine system of death certification is reasonably accurate, careful monitoring of death certification and coding practices need to be undertaken regularly in all states of Australia if secular changes in regional patterns of coronary mortality are to be regarded as credible.