Related Experiment Video
Updated: Aug 23, 2026

Midface Hypoplasia and Cranial Base Morphology in Syndromic Craniosynostosis: A Comparative Analysis Study Using a Predictive Regression Model
Published on: November 4, 2025
Interpretation of normative thyroid volumes in children and adolescents: is there a need for a multivariate model?
Johan Svensson1, Paul E Nilsson, Catherine Olsson
1Department of Pediatrics, Malmö University Hospital, Lund University, Sweden. johan.svensson@pediatrik.mas.lu.se
Insights
Accurate thyroid volume measurement in children requires updated reference criteria. This study developed a multivariate model using body surface area and age to improve thyroid ultrasonography interpretation for pediatric thyroid assessments.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric endocrinology
- Medical imaging
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Reliable reference criteria are essential for interpreting thyroid volume determined by ultrasonography.
- Existing World Health Organization/International Council for the Control of Iodine Deficiency Disorders (WHO/ICCIDD) references for thyroid volume have been questioned due to observed discrepancies in iodine-sufficient populations.
- Systematic bias in the generation of WHO/ICCIDD reference data may contribute to these discrepancies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate normative thyroid volumes in a specific pediatric population.
- To develop a multivariate model for accurate interpretation of thyroid volume.
- To compare regional thyroid volume references with existing international standards.
Main Methods:
- Thyroid ultrasonography was performed on 561 children and adolescents.
- Anthropometrical measurements including body surface area (BSA), age, weight, and height were collected.
- Multivariate regression analyses were employed to identify predictors of thyroid volume and construct predictive models.
Main Results:
- Body surface area (BSA) emerged as the strongest predictor of thyroid volume in both genders, followed by age, weight, and height.
- Age-specific thyroid volume references showed good agreement with international data.
- BSA-specific references differed from other international references, particularly those based on younger populations.
- Multivariate analyses confirmed that BSA and age independently and significantly influence thyroid volume.
- Gender-specific multiple regression models using BSA and age were developed.
Conclusions:
- A multivariate model incorporating age and body surface area (BSA) provides a more accurate method for interpreting pediatric thyroid volumes.
- The developed models can help reduce discrepancies observed between different BSA-specific thyroid volume references.
- This approach enhances the reliability of thyroid ultrasonography for assessing thyroid size in children and adolescents.
Abstract:
The use of thyroid ultrasonography for determination of thyroid volume requires reliable reference criteria. The current World Health Organization/International Council for the Control of Iodine Deficiency Disorders (WHO/ICCIDD) reference has been questioned since iodine-sufficient children have been found throughout the world with distinctly smaller thyroid volumes. A difference in part explained by a systematic bias when generating the WHO/ICCIDD reference data. The objective with this study was to evaluate normative thyroid volumes in our region and, if possible, develop a multivariate model for their interpretation. Thyroid ultrasonography was performed and anthropometrical measurements were taken in 561 children and adolescents. The best predictor for thyroid volume in both girls and boys was body surface area (BSA), followed by age, weight, and height. References for normative thyroid volumes were calculated for each of the predictors. When these references were compared with other references throughout the world, the age-specific references were in good accord, but distinct differences were found between our BSA-specific references and other references based on a majority of children younger than ours. Using multivariate analyses, BSA and age were found to significantly influence thyroid volume, independently of each other. Multiple regression models by gender using BSA and age as predictors for thyroid volume were constructed. Using these models the difference between the BSA-specific references could be markedly reduced. To interpret thyroid volume accurately we propose the use of a multivariate model using age and BSA as predictors of thyroid volume.
Related Concept Videos
Hyperthyroidism II: Pathophysiology
Hypothyroidism II: Pathophysiology
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
Hyperthyroidism I: Introduction
One-Compartment Open Model for IV Bolus Administration: Estimation of Clearance
In the one-compartment open model for intravenous (IV) bolus administration, clearance is estimated by dividing the elimination rate by the plasma drug concentration. This equation leverages the elimination rate constant and the apparent...
Regression Toward the Mean