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Related Experiment Videos

Comparing alternative models: log vs Cox proportional hazard?

Anirban Basu1, Willard G Manning, John Mullahy

  • 1Harris School of Public Policy, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.

Health Economics
|August 24, 2004
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

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Health economists should consider gamma regression with a log link for skewed health expenditure data. This method shows more robustness than OLS or Cox proportional hazards regression in econometric analyses.

Area of Science:

  • Econometrics
  • Health Economics
  • Statistical Modeling

Background:

  • Health economists frequently use log-linear models (OLS, GLM) for skewed health outcome data like expenditures and length of stay.
  • Cox proportional hazards regression is emerging as a less parametric alternative, even without censoring.
  • The econometric performance of these models with skewed data requires further examination.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the econometric bias of alternative estimators for right-skewed health outcome data.
  • To compare the performance of Cox proportional hazards regression against traditional models.
  • To identify the most robust estimation method for skewed health expenditure and length of stay data.

Main Methods:

  • Examined the econometric performance of various estimators under different data-generating mechanisms.

Related Experiment Videos

  • Compared Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) on ln(y), generalized linear models (GLM), and Cox proportional hazards regression.
  • Evaluated the bias of these models when applied to right-skewed data.
  • Main Results:

    • No single alternative estimator performed best across all examined conditions.
    • Gamma regression with a log link demonstrated greater robustness to varying data-generating mechanisms compared to OLS on ln(y) and Cox regression.
    • Consistent estimation of E(y|x) using Cox regression necessitates adherence to the proportional hazards assumption.

    Conclusions:

    • Gamma regression with a log link is a robust choice for analyzing skewed health expenditure and length of stay data.
    • The proportional hazards assumption is critical for the validity of Cox regression in estimating conditional means.
    • Careful model selection is essential for accurate econometric analysis of skewed health outcome data.