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Published on: May 16, 2013
Pediatric mortality in Africa: plasmodium falciparum malaria as a cause or risk?
Robert W Snow1, Eline L Korenromp, Eleanor Gouws
1Kenya Medical Research Institute-Wellcome Trust Collaborative Program, Nairobi, Kenya. rsnow@wtnairobi.mimcom.net
Insights
Malaria significantly increases all-cause mortality in African children under five. Current burden estimations may underestimate malaria
Area of Science:
- Global Health Epidemiology
- Infectious Disease Research
- Pediatric Mortality Studies
Background:
- The Disability Adjusted Life Year (DALY) approach is standard for global health burden assessment.
- Malaria's impact, including chronic anemia and low birth weight, may be inadequately represented by DALYs.
- Understanding malaria's role in all-cause mortality is crucial for effective child health interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess malaria as a risk factor for all-cause mortality in African children under five.
- To compare ecological associations with intervention trial data regarding malaria's mortality impact.
Main Methods:
- Ecological analysis of Plasmodium falciparum infection prevalence (PR) and under-five mortality across 48 demographic surveillance studies.
- Evaluation of reductions in all-cause under-five mortality from malaria intervention trials, specifically insecticide-treated mosquito nets.
Main Results:
- Adjusted PR was associated with more than a doubling of all-cause under-five mortality (P = 0.0001).
- Malaria intervention trials indicated smaller population-attributable fractions of pediatric mortality compared to ecological findings.
- Discrepancies may stem from imperfect intervention coverage and efficacy in trials.
Conclusions:
- Malaria's contribution to mortality in African children may exceed estimates derived from cause-specific DALYs.
- A comprehensive understanding of malaria's multifaceted burden is essential for public health policy.
- Further research is needed to refine burden estimation methodologies for infectious diseases.
Abstract:
The disability adjusted life year (DALY) approach of defining cause-specific health burdens is becoming the benchmark for international disease control prioritization. For malaria, this categorical approach may not fully capture its burden that includes chronic anemia, low birth weight, and enhancement of the severity of other childhood diseases. We investigated the extent to which malaria acts as a risk factor for all-cause mortality in African children less than five years of age from 1) ecologic associations between Plasmodium falciparum infection prevalence (PR) and under-five mortality, and 2) reductions in all-cause under-five mortality achieved in malaria intervention trials. Across 48 demographic surveillance studies, when adjusted for secular trends, PR more than doubled all-cause mortality (P = 0.0001). Trials of insecticide-treated mosquito nets generally found smaller population-attributable fractions of pediatric mortality to malaria infection, which may relate to their imperfect coverage and efficacy. In conclusion, the disability and death burden due to malaria in African children could be higher than that detectable from cause-specific DALY estimations.
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