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Published on: June 5, 2019
A point-process model of human heartbeat intervals: new definitions of heart rate and heart rate variability
Riccardo Barbieri1, Eric C Matten, Abdulrasheed A Alabi
1Neuroscience Statistics Research Laboratory, Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit St., Clinics 3, Boston, MA 02114-2696, USA. barbieri@neurostat.mgh.harvard.edu
Insights
This study introduces a new stochastic model for heartbeats, providing instantaneous measures of heart rate and heart rate variability. This approach accurately describes heart rate dynamics in healthy subjects under various physiological conditions.
Area of Science:
- Physiology
- Biostatistics
- Cardiovascular Regulation
Background:
- Heart rate variability (HRV) quantifies autonomic nervous system regulation of the cardiovascular system.
- Current HRV algorithms lack consideration for the point-process nature of heartbeats and do not provide instantaneous estimates.
- Existing methods fail to capture the inherent stochastic structure of heartbeat intervals.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a novel stochastic model for human heartbeat intervals.
- To derive new, instantaneous definitions of heart rate and heart rate variability.
- To assess the accuracy of the proposed model in describing heart rate dynamics.
Main Methods:
- Modeling heartbeat intervals using a history-dependent inverse Gaussian process.
- Deriving explicit probability densities for instantaneous R-R interval and heart rate standard deviations.
- Estimating time-varying model parameters via local maximum likelihood.
- Assessing model goodness-of-fit using Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests and the time-rescaling theorem.
Main Results:
- A new probability density for heartbeat intervals was derived, enabling instantaneous heart rate and heart rate variability definitions.
- The inverse Gaussian model accurately described human heartbeat intervals from 10 healthy subjects.
- The model provided a highly accurate description of heart rate dynamics at rest and under physiological stress during a tilt-table experiment.
Conclusions:
- The proposed elementary, physiologically based stochastic model offers a powerful new framework for analyzing heart rate and heart rate variability.
- This approach provides accurate, instantaneous measures of cardiovascular regulation, overcoming limitations of existing methods.
- The model effectively captures the stochastic nature of heartbeats, even in extreme physiological states.
Abstract:
Heart rate is a vital sign, whereas heart rate variability is an important quantitative measure of cardiovascular regulation by the autonomic nervous system. Although the design of algorithms to compute heart rate and assess heart rate variability is an active area of research, none of the approaches considers the natural point-process structure of human heartbeats, and none gives instantaneous estimates of heart rate variability. We model the stochastic structure of heartbeat intervals as a history-dependent inverse Gaussian process and derive from it an explicit probability density that gives new definitions of heart rate and heart rate variability: instantaneous R-R interval and heart rate standard deviations. We estimate the time-varying parameters of the inverse Gaussian model by local maximum likelihood and assess model goodness-of-fit by Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests based on the time-rescaling theorem. We illustrate our new definitions in an analysis of human heartbeat intervals from 10 healthy subjects undergoing a tilt-table experiment. Although several studies have identified deterministic, nonlinear dynamical features in human heartbeat intervals, our analysis shows that a highly accurate description of these series at rest and in extreme physiological conditions may be given by an elementary, physiologically based, stochastic model.
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