Modeling utility of second-eye cataract surgery

To study the impact on public health in terms of utility of various proportions of first-eye and second-eye cataract surgery.

A model was used to study the impact on a population of a fixed cataract surgical rate (9,250 operations/1,000,000 people) with varying proportions of first-eye and second-eye cataract operations. The study population was the County of Blekinge with a known incidence of previous cataract surgery. The prevalence of cataract, the estimated need for cataract surgery, and the utility values were taken from the literature. The population was grouped by disability stage of cataract and previous cataract surgery in accordance with prevalence studies and data from a large national database on cataract surgery and patients' self-assessed visual function. The mortality rate was taken from real data for the study population.

Given a fixed cataract surgical rate over a period of five years, a high percentage of second-eye cataract surgery (42 percent) resulted in a mean utility of 0.82239 in the population forty years of age and older and the corresponding number for a low percentage of second-eye cataract surgery (25 percent) was 0.82253. A high percentage of second-eye surgeries resulted in 421 more individuals who were well compared with a low percentage of second-eye surgeries. On the other hand, a low percentage of second-eye surgeries resulted in 152 fewer individuals with disability and 118 fewer individuals with dependence compared with a high percentage of second-eye surgeries.

A high frequency of first-eye cataract surgeries instead of second-eye surgeries affects more individuals and means an optimized improvement of utility in a population. This should be recommended if the cataract surgical rate is very insufficient. If the cataract surgical rate is high, more second-eye surgeries should be performed to optimize quality of life to as many as possible.