Value of immediate postoperative electrocardiogram to update risk stratification after major noncardiac surgery

Current consensus guidelines recommend postoperative electrocardiographic surveillance only in patients at relatively high risk of postoperative major cardiac complications, but the usefulness of electrocardiograms after major noncardiac surgery is unknown. We prospectively studied 3,570 patients who underwent major noncardiac procedures and had electrocardiograms performed in the recovery room. Rates of major cardiac complications (acute myocardial infarction, pulmonary edema, ventricular fibrillation or primary cardiac arrest, and complete heart block) were higher in patients who had new postoperative electrocardiographic abnormalities consistent with ischemia (ST-T elevation or depression or T-wave abnormalities compatible with ischemia) compared with those without ischemia (6.7% vs 1.9%, p <0.001). Multivariate analysis, after adjusting for pre- and intraoperative clinical data, indicated that the presence of ischemia on the immediate postoperative electrocardiogram was an independent predictor of major cardiac complications (odds ratio 2.2, 95% confidence interval 1.2 to 3.9, p <0.01). When patients were stratified by a preoperative Revised Cardiac Risk Index, ischemia on the immediate postoperative electrocardiogram identified patients with a higher risk of major cardiac complications in low- and high-risk subsets (odds ratio 4.9, 95% confidence interval 1.6 to 15 in lower risk patients; odds ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval 1.0 to 3.7 in higher risk patients). We conclude that the immediate postoperative electrocardiogram is a valuable tool to adjust risk stratification, even in patients who have lower risks when undergoing noncardiac surgery.