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[Prognostication of the course of stable ischemic heart disease by exercise stress echocardiography]
Insights
Exercise stress echocardiography effectively predicts cardiac events in patients with ischemic heart disease. A negative test indicates a 95% event-free survival rate, highlighting its prognostic value.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Imaging
- Clinical Prognostics
Background:
- Ischemic heart disease poses significant mortality and morbidity risks.
- Accurate prognostic tools are crucial for guiding patient management.
- Stress echocardiography is a widely used diagnostic modality.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic power of exercise stress echocardiography in patients with ischemic heart disease.
- To identify clinical and instrumental predictors of adverse cardiac events.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from 549 patients (450 high, 99 low pretest probability of ischemic events).
- Prospective observation for 12-42 months.
- Cox proportional hazards model used to assess relationships between data and events (death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, revascularization).
Main Results:
- One-year risk of cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction was 3% and 15% for negative and positive stress echocardiography results, respectively.
- Event-free survival at one year was 95% (negative) vs. 66% (positive).
- Short test duration (<6 min) and local contractility disturbances predicted major events; LVH, METs, angina, and hypertension predicted combined endpoints.
Conclusions:
- Exercise stress echocardiography demonstrates high prognostic power in patients with ischemic heart disease.
- Specific findings during stress echocardiography can predict adverse cardiac outcomes.
- Test duration and regional wall motion abnormalities are key prognostic indicators.
Abstract:
We analyzed data from 549 patients (450 with high and 99 -- low pretest probability of ischemic events). Duration of observation was 12-42 (mean 20.1+/-11.6) months. End points were death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and revascularization. Cox proportional hazards model was used for assessment of relationship between clinical-instrumental data and events. One year risk of cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction was 3 and 15%, event free survival -- 95 and 66% for patients with negative and positive result of stress echocardiography, respectively. Besides local contractility disturbances total test duration less than 6 min was significantly related to prognosis of main events while left ventricular hypertrophy, amount of METs, development of angina during stress test, and hypertensive disease were predictors of combined end point (death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or revascularization). Thus results of exercise stress echocardiography had high prognostic power in patients with ischemic heart disease.
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