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Thermodilution cardiac output--are three injections enough?
L B Nilsson1, J C Nilsson, L T Skovgaard
1Department of Anesthesiology, Gentofte Hospital, Denmark.
Insights
Averaging four thermodilution measurements ensures 95% confidence in cardiac output accuracy within 5%. Two sets of four measurements must differ by 7% to confirm changes in cardiac function.
Area of Science:
- Critical care medicine
- Cardiovascular physiology
Background:
- Bolus thermodilution is a standard method for cardiac output monitoring in critically ill patients.
- Current practice averages an arbitrary number of thermal indicator injections to enhance measurement reliability.
- The optimal number of injections for precise cardiac output estimation has not been systematically studied.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically investigate the relationship between the number of thermal indicator injections and the precision of cardiac output measurements.
- To determine the number of injections required for a specific level of confidence and accuracy.
- To establish the difference threshold between measurement sets indicative of a true change in cardiac function.
Main Methods:
- Cardiac output was measured in 80 hemodynamically stable patients using bolus thermodilution.
- Eight injections of 10 ml iced saline were administered per patient.
- Statistical analysis examined the correlation between the number of injections and the precision of the cardiac output estimate.
- The least detectable difference between two sets of measurements was analyzed in relation to the number of injections.
Main Results:
- Averaging four injections provides 95% confidence that the cardiac output estimate is within 5% of the true value.
- Two series of measurements, each averaging four injections, must differ by at least 7% to reliably detect changes in cardiac function with 95% confidence.
Conclusions:
- Four thermodilution injections are recommended for precise cardiac output estimation in critically ill patients.
- A 7% difference between serial measurements is the threshold for confirming significant changes in cardiac function.
- This study provides evidence-based guidelines for optimizing thermodilution cardiac output monitoring.
Background:
Bolus thermodilution cardiac output measurements have been a mainstay in clinical monitoring of critically ill patients for more than 30 years. Usually the results of an arbitrarily chosen number (1-6) of thermal indicator injections are averaged to increase the reliability of the measurement. The number of injections needed to achieve a given level of precision has, however, not previously been systematically investigated.
Methods And Results:
In 80 hemodynamically stable patients cardiac output was determined as the average of eight injections of 10 ml of iced saline. From the 638 measurements we examined the relationship between the number of thermal indicator injections and the precision of the resulting cardiac output estimate. Furthermore, the association between the number of injections and the least detectable difference among two sets of measurements was established.
Conclusion:
The current study shows that one needs to average the results of four injections to be 95% confident that the result is within 5% of the 'true' cardiac output and that two series of four measurements have to differ by at least 7% before one can be sure (95%) that a change in cardiac function has taken place.
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