[Smoking and incidence of lung cancer, 1981-1995]

Smoking is the dominant risk factor for lung cancer. We compared trends in smoking with those of the incidence of lung cancer in Israel. The proportion of smokers has declined during the past 20 years; the decrease is greater in men than in women, and more marked in the elderly. Since 1980 the age-adjusted incidence of lung cancer in Jewish men has decreased slightly, but in women it has remained constant. Among Arab men there was an increase in age-adjusted incidence of lung cancer and since 1986 it has been higher than in Jewish men. The largest decrease in lung cancer incidence was among Jewish men aged 75 and over. This may be explained by data on the age of smoking cessation in the population. It was observed that the main decrease in smoking occurred among men over the age of 55 in the past 20 years, which correlates with the decline in lung cancer observed in the older age group. Lung cancer rates in Israel are lower than in other western countries despite the similar prevalence of smoking, for unknown reasons.