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Published on: September 19, 2018
Population based randomised controlled trial on impact of screening on mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysm
Paul E Norman1, Konrad Jamrozik, Michael M Lawrence-Brown
1School of Surgery and Pathology, University of Western Australia, Fremantle Hospital, PO Box 480, Fremantle, WA 6959, Australia. pnorman@cyllene.uwa.edu.au
Insights
Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in men aged 65-83 did not reduce overall mortality. However, screening showed potential benefits for men aged 65-75, highlighting the importance of age targeting.
Area of Science:
- Vascular Surgery
- Public Health Screening
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a significant cause of mortality in older men.
- Effective screening strategies are crucial for early detection and intervention.
- Previous studies have yielded mixed results on the effectiveness of AAA screening programs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the impact of ultrasound screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms on mortality in men aged 65-83 years.
- To determine if population-based screening reduces overall death rates from AAA.
Main Methods:
- A community-based, randomized controlled trial involving 41,000 men aged 65-83 years in Western Australia.
- Participants were randomized to either an intervention group (invitation to ultrasound screening) or a control group.
- Intention-to-treat analysis of age-standardized mortality was conducted over a five-year follow-up period.
Main Results:
- The overall mortality ratio for AAA deaths between the intervention and control groups was 0.61 (95% CI 0.33 to 1.11), indicating no statistically significant reduction at the population level.
- Men aged 65-75 years in the intervention group experienced a significant reduction in AAA mortality, with a ratio of 0.19 (95% CI 0.04 to 0.89).
- The intervention group had twice the rate of elective AAA surgery compared to the control group (107 vs. 54).
Conclusions:
- Population-based screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in men aged 65-83 years was not effective in reducing overall mortality.
- The effectiveness of screening is highly dependent on selecting the appropriate target age group and excluding ineligible individuals.
- The potential benefits of population-based screening may be limited in communities with a high rate of current elective AAA surgery.
Objective:
To assess whether screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in men reduces mortality.
Design:
Population based randomised controlled trial of ultrasound screening, with intention to treat analysis of age standardised mortality.
Setting:
Community based screening programme in Western Australia.
Participants:
41,000 men aged 65-83 years randomised to intervention and control groups.
Intervention:
Invitation to ultrasound screening.
Main Outcome Measure:
Deaths from abdominal aortic aneurysm in the five years after the start of screening.
Results:
The corrected response to invitation to screening was 70%. The crude prevalence was 7.2% for aortic diameter > or = 30 mm and 0.5% for diameter > or = 55 mm. Twice as many men in the intervention group than in the control group underwent elective surgery for abdominal aortic aneurysm (107 v 54, P = 0.002, chi2 test). Between scheduled screening and the end of follow up 18 men in the intervention group and 25 in the control group died from abdominal aortic aneurysm, yielding a mortality ratio of 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.33 to 1.11). Any benefit was almost entirely in men aged between 65 and 75 years, where the ratio was reduced to 0.19 (0.04 to 0.89).
Conclusions:
At a whole population level screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms was not effective in men aged 65-83 years and did not reduce overall death rates. The success of screening depends on choice of target age group and the exclusion of ineligible men. It is also important to assess the current rate of elective surgery for abdominal aortic aneurysm as in some communities this may already approach a level that reduces the potential benefit of population based screening.
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