Reliability of X-rays and bone scans for the assessment of changes in skeletal metastases from breast cancer
M Shackleton1, K Yuen, A F Little
1Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, St Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria 3065, Australia.
Aims:
To examine the level of agreement among observers regarding changes between serial images of bone metastases.
Methods:
Thirty-five pairs of bone X-rays and 30 pairs of bone scans were selected from the files of patients with breast cancer involving the skeleton. All images in a pair were of the same site and had been taken at least 12 weeks apart. Thirteen radiologists and 14 nuclear medicine physicians examined the X-ray and bone scan pairs, respectively. Each assessed whether the changes between sequential films represented improvement, stability or worsening. Inter-observer agreement was analysed using the kappa statistic (kappa).
Results:
There was only fair overall agreement among radiologists regarding changes between X-rays (kappa = 0.23), but there was substantial agreement among nuclear medicine physicians for bone scan assessments (kappa = 0.62). Neither the experience of the observers nor the time between images had a significant effect on agreement. For X-rays, agreement was poorer if the response category was 'improvement' and if the type of bone lesion was mixed lytic/sclerotic.
Conclusions:
Evaluation of serial X-rays is unreliable for determining the response of bone metastases. Scintigraphic evaluation has a higher internal validity for the determination of response, but it should not be used in isolation from other clinical data.
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