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Related Experiment Video

Updated: May 5, 2026

Design and Construction of an Urban Runoff Research Facility
13:48

Design and Construction of an Urban Runoff Research Facility

Published on: August 8, 2014

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Climate: large-scale warming is not urban.

David E Parker1

  • 1Hadley Centre, Meteorological Office, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK. david.parker@metoffice.com

Nature
|November 19, 2004
PubMed
Summary

Global warming trends are not caused by urban development. This study shows that land temperatures have risen equally on windy and calm nights, refuting the urban heat island effect as the primary driver of warming.

Area of Science:

  • Climatology
  • Atmospheric Science
  • Urban Meteorology

Background:

  • Persistent debate exists regarding the impact of urban warming on large-scale surface-air temperature trends.
  • Urban heat islands (UHIs) are known to primarily affect nighttime temperatures and diminish under windy conditions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate whether urban warming influences global surface-air temperature trends.
  • To determine the role of urban development in observed climate warming.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of global land surface-air temperature data, differentiating between windy and calm night conditions.
  • Comparison of temperature trends under varying wind speeds to isolate the influence of urban heat islands.

Main Results:

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  • Global land temperatures have increased comparably on both windy and calm nights.
  • The rate of warming on windy nights is similar to that on calm nights, challenging the UHI hypothesis for large-scale trends.

Conclusions:

  • Observed global warming trends are unlikely to be a consequence of urban development.
  • The urban heat island effect does not appear to be the dominant factor driving large-scale temperature increases.