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Evaluating the Effectiveness of Cancer Drug Sensitization In Vitro and In Vivo
Published on: February 6, 2015
On the efficiency of targeted clinical trials
1Biometric Research Branch, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892-7434, USA.
Abstract:
The development of genomics-based technologies is demonstrating that many common diseases are heterogeneous collections of molecularly distinct entities. Molecularly targeted therapeutics is often effective only for some subsets patients with a conventionally defined disease. We consider the problem of design of phase III randomized clinical trials for the evaluation of a molecularly targeted treatment when there is an assay predictive of which patients will be more responsive to the experimental treatment than to the control regimen. We compare the conventional randomized clinical trial design to a design based on randomizing only patients predicted to preferentially benefit from the new treatment. Trial designs are compared based on the required number of randomized patients and the expected number of patients screened for randomization eligibility. Relative efficiency depends upon the distribution of treatment effect across patient subsets, prevalence of the subset of patients who respond preferentially to the experimental treatment, and assay performance.
Insights
Designing clinical trials for targeted therapies requires careful consideration. Randomizing patients predicted to benefit from novel treatments can improve trial efficiency and reduce patient screening.
Area of Science:
- Biomedical Science
- Genomic Medicine
- Clinical Trial Design
Background:
- Common diseases are molecularly diverse, impacting targeted therapy effectiveness.
- Molecularly targeted treatments benefit specific patient subsets.
- Predictive assays identify patients likely to respond to targeted therapies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare conventional randomized clinical trials with designs that randomize only predicted responders.
- To evaluate trial efficiency based on patient numbers and screening requirements.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of two phase III randomized clinical trial designs.
- Evaluating designs based on the number of randomized patients and screened patients.
- Assessing the impact of treatment effect distribution, responder prevalence, and assay performance.
Main Results:
- Randomizing only predicted responders can enhance trial efficiency.
- The relative efficiency depends on several factors, including assay performance and patient subset prevalence.
- Optimized designs balance patient randomization and screening efforts.
Conclusions:
- Genomic technologies reveal disease heterogeneity, necessitating tailored clinical trial designs.
- Targeted clinical trial designs using predictive assays can optimize resource allocation.
- Future trials should consider adaptive designs that leverage predictive biomarkers for targeted therapies.
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