Prognostic value of morphometry in low grade papillary urothelial bladder neoplasms

To analyze the prognostic value of morphometry in low grade papillary urothelial bladder neoplasms (LGPUBNs).

The primary (most common) and secondary (second most common) histologic grades were considered in accordance with the 1998 World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology and the 1999 World Health Organization classifications. With the primary grade, 54 cases were papillary urothelial neoplasms of low malignant potential (PUNLMPs) and 66 low grade papillary urothelial carcinomas (LGPUCs), whereas the secondary grade consisted of 45 PUNLMPs and 75 LGPUCs. To assess the proliferative index, an immunohistochemical study was performed. Regarding nuclear morphometry, an image analysis system on Feulgen-stained sections was utilized in different tumor zones (Zs): Z 1, 100-150 cells from the outer layers of the papillae; Z 2, 100-150 cells from the inner layers; and Z 3, 10 largest nuclei. In univariate studies, a t test, and Mann-Whitney U test and Kaplan-Meier curves were applied, whereas a Cox regression model was used for multivariate study of the variables: size, multiplicity, maximum Ki-67 index, mean nuclear area (MNA) and SD, mean nuclear perimeter and SD, and roundness factor.

All 120 cases were followed for a mean of 76.6 months (range, 36-168). In univariate studies, many variables showed a significant correlation (p < 0.05) with recurrence prediction, relapse-free interval and histologic grade regardless of adjuvant therapy. Otherwise, only the MNA of the 10 largest nuclei (threshold, 52 microm2) and the maximum proliferative index (threshold, 7.9%) appeared as independent prognostic markers in the multivariate study.

In LGPUBNs, the independent prognostic value of MNA of the 10 largest nuclei as well as the maximum proliferative index indicates the importance of histologic grade assessment based on the secondary (second most common) grade.