Toward the quantitative prediction of T-cell epitopes: QSAR studies on peptides having affinity with the class I MHC...

It would be useful for vaccine development to develop a method of rapidly identifying peptide epitopes. In this paper, the empirical three-dimensional quantitative structure-affinity relationship (3D-QSAR) methods were used to study the relationship between the three dimensional structural parameters (the isotropic surface area, ISA, and the electronic charge index, ECI) of the HLA-A*0201 binding peptide and the HLA-A*0201/peptide binding affinities. A set of 102 peptides having affinity with the class I MHC HLA-A*0201 molecule was used as training set. A test set of 40 peptides was used to determine the predictive value of the models. The 3D-QSAR models yielded a q2 = 0.5724 and a high rpred2 = 0.6955. The standard regression coefficients indicated that the hydrophobic interactions played an important role in peptide-MHC molecule binding and predicted the specific amino acid residue essential at a certain position of the peptide. The approach tested in the current paper is highly complementary to many of the methods described in references and possesses good predictability. It is a rapid and convenient method to detect high affinity peptide epitopes.