Jove
Visualize
Contact Us
JoVE
x logofacebook logolinkedin logoyoutube logo
ABOUT JoVE
OverviewLeadershipBlogJoVE Help Center
AUTHORS
Publishing ProcessEditorial BoardScope & PoliciesPeer ReviewFAQSubmit
LIBRARIANS
TestimonialsSubscriptionsAccessResourcesLibrary Advisory BoardFAQ
RESEARCH
JoVE JournalMethods CollectionsJoVE Encyclopedia of ExperimentsArchive
EDUCATION
JoVE CoreJoVE BusinessJoVE Science EducationJoVE Lab ManualFaculty Resource CenterFaculty Site
Terms & Conditions of Use
Privacy Policy
Policies

Related Experiment Videos

Disability forecasts and future Medicare costs.

Jayanta Bhattacharya1, David M Cutler, Dana P Goldman

  • 1Stanford University, USA.

Frontiers in Health Policy Research
|December 23, 2004
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Related Concept Videos

You might also read

Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

Sort by
Same author

Scoring Health Reform-Congress Needs a Wider Aperture and Longer Exposure.

JAMA health forum·2026
Same author

Making Policy When the Perfect Is Impossible.

JAMA health forum·2026
Same author

Primary Care Access and the Role of Telemedicine for Traditional Medicare Beneficiaries.

JAMA health forum·2026
Same author

Scanning the Health Care System in the US.

JAMA health forum·2026
Same author

Income-Based Inequalities in Health System Performance in the US and South Korea.

JAMA health forum·2026
Same author

Test Ordering and Completion During Virtual vs In-Person Annual Visits.

JAMA network open·2026
Same journal

An economic analysis of health plan conversions: are they in the public interest?

Frontiers in health policy research·2004
Same journal

Benefit plan design and prescription drug utilization among asthmatics: do patient copayments matter?

Frontiers in health policy research·2004
Same journal

Adverse selection and the challenges to stand-alone prescription drug insurance.

Frontiers in health policy research·2004
Same journal

Reference pricing of pharmaceuticals for Medicare: evidence from Germany, The Netherlands, and New Zealand.

Frontiers in health policy research·2004
See all related articles

Disability trends in younger populations significantly impact future healthcare spending. Ignoring this can lead to inaccurate Medicare cost projections, necessitating a broader scope in disability research.

Area of Science:

  • Gerontology
  • Public Health
  • Health Economics

Background:

  • Disability research traditionally focuses on the elderly due to higher prevalence and healthcare demand.
  • Understanding disability trends in younger populations is crucial for forecasting future healthcare needs and spending.
  • Divergent disability trends in younger individuals can have significant long-term implications for healthcare systems.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To forecast future Medicare costs by incorporating disability trends across different age groups.
  • To assess the impact of rising disability in younger populations on future healthcare expenditures.
  • To provide a more accurate projection of Medicare costs by including data on younger individuals' disability.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) and the National Health Interview Study (NHIS).

Related Experiment Videos

  • Employed forecasting models to project per-capita Medicare costs based on disability trends.
  • Analyzed the relationship between disability prevalence in younger populations and future healthcare spending.

    • Main Results:

    • Per-capita Medicare costs are projected to decline for 15-20 years, then rise starting around 2020 due to increased disability in younger elderly.
    • Total Medicare costs may remain flat until 2010 before increasing as declining per-capita costs fail to offset population growth.
    • Forecasts incorporating younger populations' disability data present more pessimistic scenarios than those using elderly data alone.

    Conclusions:

    • Future Medicare cost projections should integrate disability data from younger generations for greater accuracy.
    • Rising disability among younger individuals poses a significant risk to the long-term financial sustainability of Medicare.
    • Current Medicare cost forecasts may underestimate future expenditures if they do not account for emerging disability trends in younger cohorts.