Mendelian inheritance of polygenic diseases: a hypothetical basis for increasing incidence

The incidence of common polygenic diseases, such as type 1 diabetes, bronchial asthma, and gluten-sensitive enteropathy, is increasing. Although this is usually attributed to environmental factors, it is possible that this rising incidence also has a genetic basis. The hypothesis is put forth that, in the past, these diseases, with their increased morbidity and mortality, were selected against. In contrast to monogenic diseases, the incidence of polygenic diseases can be reduced by selection against susceptibility alleles of any of the genetic loci necessary for disease to occur. In different isolated populations, different disease susceptibility loci may have been selected against. Parents who derive from different isolated populations in which there are inversely different susceptibility allele frequencies because of selection or genetic drift, would be expected to have offspring with an increased risk for that polygenic disease. It is shown mathematically that the incidence of a hypothetical polygenic disease increases under these circumstances. The increased risk in these offspring results from a kind of genetic complementation in which they have inherited a more complete set of susceptibility alleles at all susceptibility loci than is carried by either of their parents. Hallmarks of this hypothesized phenomenon would be increased heterozygosity for specific population markers (whether susceptibility alleles or not) among the disease-affected offspring and a paucity of such heterozygotes among their parents. The parents and patients would also be expected to give more evidence of ethnic or subethnic disparity than that observed in controls.