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Published on: May 22, 2019
What MONICA told us about stroke
1National Board of Health and Welfare and the Department of Medicine, University Hospital, Umeå, Sweden. kjell.asplund@sos.se <kjell.asplund@sos.se>
Insights
The World Health Organization MONICA Project reveals that socioeconomic factors, not just classic risks, drive stroke trends. Quality stroke care significantly improves patient outcomes and reduces population-level stroke burden.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- The World Health Organization (WHO) MONICA (Multinational Monitoring of Determinants and Trends in Cardiovascular Disease) Project is a large-scale prospective study.
- The stroke component analyzed 34,715 validated stroke events across 14 populations over 21.7 million observation years.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the drivers of stroke mortality trends, distinguishing between changes in incidence and survival.
- To assess the impact of population-level cardiovascular risk factors on stroke risk.
- To derive lessons on study limitations and the influence of care quality.
Main Methods:
- Prospective observational study design.
- Individual validation of stroke events.
- Analysis of incidence, mortality, and risk factor data across diverse populations.
Main Results:
- Socioeconomic factors appear to be more influential than classic cardiovascular risk factors in establishing population stroke trends.
- Stroke mortality trends, particularly in Eastern Europe, were significantly influenced by socioeconomic developments.
- Quality of stroke care demonstrated a profound impact on both individual patient outcomes and the overall population burden of stroke.
Conclusions:
- Socioeconomic status plays a critical role in population-level stroke mortality trends.
- Improvements in the quality of stroke care are a key factor in reducing the burden of stroke.
- Ecological studies have limitations for hypothesis testing and evaluating community interventions.
Abstract:
The WHO MONICA (Multinational Monitoring of Determinants and Trends in Cardiovascular Disease) Project is the world's largest prospective study on cardiovascular disorders. In the stroke component, 34,715 individually validated stroke events were recorded; these happened during 21.7 million years of observation in 14 populations in Europe, Siberia, and China. Two important questions were addressed. What is driving stroke mortality trends-changes in stroke incidence (risk of stroke) or changes in survival? To what extent do changes in the population burden of classic cardiovascular risk factors affect stroke risk in the population? The seven lessons that I learnt from the MONICA study are described; some were about the limitations of an ecological study for testing of hypotheses and evaluation of community-based intervention programmes. Socioeconomic factors seem more important than classic risk factors for the establishment of stroke trends in the population, best shown by the development of stroke mortality in eastern Europe during the 10 years of the WHO MONICA Project. The simplest, most important, and, for clinicians, the most encouraging of the lessons is that quality of stroke care makes a profound difference, not only to the patient and his or her family but also to the burden of stroke in the population at large.
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