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Physics, stability, and dynamics of supply networks
Dirk Helbing1, Stefan Lämmer, Thomas Seidel
1Dresden University of Technology, Andreas-Schubert-Strasse 23, 01069 Dresden, Germany. helbing@trafficforum.org
Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics
|February 9, 2005
Summary
Supply networks are modeled as physical transport systems, revealing instabilities like the bullwhip effect. This research explains oscillations in supply chains using network topology and resonance effects.
Area of Science:
- Operations Research
- Network Science
- Supply Chain Management
Background:
- Supply networks exhibit complex dynamics, including the bullwhip effect, which is poorly understood.
- Existing models often fail to capture the inherent physical transport and adaptation behaviors within supply chains.
Purpose of the Study:
- To model supply networks as physical transport problems governed by balance and production speed adaptation equations.
- To analyze the stability conditions and dynamic behavior of complex supply networks.
- To provide a theoretical explanation for the bullwhip effect and generalize it.
Main Methods:
- Treating supply networks as physical transport systems.
- Linearizing coupled differential equations governing network dynamics.
- Deriving analytical conditions for absolute and convective instabilities.
- Analyzing eigenvalues of the network structure.
Main Results:
- The linearized supply network equations are formally related to oscillator networks.
- Analytical conditions for absolute and convective instabilities were derived.
- The bullwhip effect is explained as a resonance-driven convective instability.
- Generalized instability analysis applies to arbitrary supply networks, revealing complex eigenvalues and oscillatory behavior.
Conclusions:
- Supply networks can be effectively modeled as physical transport systems.
- Network topology and resonance effects are key drivers of supply chain instabilities like the bullwhip effect.
- The derived framework provides a generalized understanding of supply network dynamics and stability.