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Disappearing Arctic lakes.

L C Smith1, Y Sheng, G M MacDonald

  • 1Department of Geography, 1255 Bunche Hall, University of California-Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. lsmith@geog.ucla.edu

Science (New York, N.Y.)
|June 4, 2005
PubMed
Summary
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Siberian lakes are disappearing due to permafrost thaw. Warming causes initial expansion, but ultimately leads to widespread lake drainage and loss across the region.

Area of Science:

  • Environmental science
  • Climate change research
  • Hydrology

Background:

  • Siberia is experiencing rapid warming, impacting its numerous lakes.
  • Permafrost thaw is a significant consequence of high-latitude climate change.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate changes in lake abundance and area in Siberia since 1973.
  • To identify the drivers behind observed lake declines.

Main Methods:

  • Comparison of historical archived satellite images with contemporary satellite data.
  • Analysis of over 10,000 large lakes across Siberia.
  • Spatial pattern analysis of lake disappearance.

Main Results:

  • A significant decline in both the number and area of Siberian lakes since 1973.

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  • Lake loss is occurring despite a slight increase in regional precipitation.
  • The spatial distribution of lake disappearance correlates with permafrost thaw.

    • Conclusions:

    • Permafrost thaw and breaching are the primary mechanisms driving lake drainage.
    • A two-phase model of permafrost warming effects on lakes is proposed: initial expansion followed by widespread loss.