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Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
A stochastic model of the distribution of unequal competitors between resource patches
1Department of Mathematics, Mantell Building, University of Sussex, Falmer, Brighton BN1 9RF, UK. g.e.yates@sussex.ac.uk
Abstract:
We present a stochastic model of individuals' movements between two patches of resources. The population is made up of two types of individual with differing competitive abilities, and two types of movements occur, with individuals moving either to increase their intake rate or at random. Several previous models have used simulations to evaluate the likely distribution of individuals. We instead derive equations for the equilibrium distribution of the population, which can be solved numerically. This avoids the need to choose an initial distribution for the population, and enables us to obtain the probability with which rare events occur. This may not be possible when simulations are used, since a rare event may not occur at all. We find that when random movements are rare, an increase in the rate of random movements out of a patch can increase the number of individuals on that patch. We consider an approximation to the model with rare random movements, which provides an explanation for this phenomenon.
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