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Risk factors for cardiovascular event recurrence in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study
Keattiyoat Wattanakit1, Aaron R Folsom, Lloyd E Chambless
1Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minn 55454-1015, USA.
Insights
Established risk factors predict recurrent cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. Novel markers like creatinine and carotid intima-media thickness also independently predict CVD risk, highlighting their importance in managing cardiovascular health.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Vascular Medicine
- Biomarkers
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) poses a significant health burden.
- Identifying predictors of recurrent CVD events is crucial for effective patient management.
- Few studies have comprehensively evaluated established and novel markers for predicting recurrent CVD.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictive value of established risk factors, novel blood markers, and carotid ultrasonography for recurrent CVD events.
- To determine which factors independently predict recurrent CVD after adjusting for established risk factors.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 766 participants with a mean follow-up of 8.7 years.
- Assessment of established CVD risk factors, novel blood markers (lipoprotein (a), fibrinogen, white blood cells, creatinine, albumin), and carotid ultrasonography (intima-media thickness, plaque).
- Statistical analysis to determine associations with recurrent CVD events, adjusting for age, sex, and established risk factors.
Main Results:
- Established risk factors were associated with recurrent CVD events in expected directions.
- Higher levels of lipoprotein (a), fibrinogen, white blood cells, and creatinine were linked to increased CVD risk.
- Increased carotid intima-media thickness and presence of carotid plaque with acoustic shadowing significantly predicted recurrent CVD events.
- Creatinine, albumin, and carotid intima-media thickness remained independent predictors of recurrent CVD events after adjustment.
Conclusions:
- Established risk factors are important predictors of recurrent CVD.
- Certain novel markers, including creatinine, albumin, and carotid intima-media thickness, independently predict recurrent CVD events.
- Carotid ultrasonography findings are valuable in assessing the risk of recurrent cardiovascular events.
Background:
Numerous studies have identified risk factors and markers associated with incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, few studies have examined whether established risk factors, novel blood markers, carotid ultrasonography, or ankle-brachial index can predict recurrent CVD events.
Methods And Results:
We analyzed the relation of established risk factors and markers of atherosclerosis with the risk of recurrent CVD in 766 participants. Over a mean of 8.7 years of follow-up, 70 women and 243 men had a recurrent CVD event (85.3% coronary heart disease and 23.7% stroke). Adjusting for age and sex, this study found that established risk factors were associated with recurrent CVD events in the anticipated direction. Being in the highest (vs lowest) quartiles of lipoprotein (a), fibrinogen, white blood cells, and creatinine at baseline were associated with 47%, 69%, 65%, and 81%, respectively, greater risk of a CVD event, and being in the highest quartile of albumin was associated with 39% lower risk. Being in the highest (vs lowest) quartile of carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) was associated with a doubling of risk, and having carotid plaque with acoustic shadowing (vs having no plaque) was associated with 83% increased risk of a CVD event. After adjustment for established risk factors, creatinine, albumin, and carotid IMT in the highest quartile (vs lowest quartile) and carotid plaque with acoustic shadowing (vs no plaque) were independently associated with recurrent CVD events.
Conclusion:
Established risk factors, but only a few of novel risk factors and markers, were independent predictors of recurrent CVD events.
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