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Optimized Management of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke
Published on: January 18, 2018
A simple score (ABCD) to identify individuals at high early risk of stroke after transient ischaemic attack
P M Rothwell1, M F Giles, E Flossmann
1Department of Clinical Neurology, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford, OX2 6HE, UK. peter.rothwell@clneuro.ox.ac.uk
Insights
Predicting stroke risk after transient ischemic attack (TIA) is crucial. The ABCD score effectively identifies high-risk individuals needing urgent care, improving TIA management.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Effective early management of transient ischemic attacks (TIA) is hindered by the inability to predict which patients face the highest early stroke risk.
- Accurate risk stratification is essential for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes in TIA cases.
Purpose of the Study:
- To derive and validate a predictive score for 7-day stroke risk in patients with TIA.
- To assess the clinical utility of the ABCD score in stratifying patients for front-line health services and TIA clinics.
Main Methods:
- A six-point ABCD score was derived from the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project (OCSP) cohort (n=209).
- The score was validated in the Oxford Vascular Study (OXVASC) cohort (n=190) and applied to suspected TIA referrals (n=378) and a TIA clinic cohort (n=210).
- Outcomes assessed included 7-day stroke risk and risk of stroke before appointment.
Main Results:
- The ABCD score demonstrated high predictive accuracy for 7-day stroke risk across all studied cohorts (p<0.0001).
- In the OXVASC suspected TIA cohort, 95% of strokes occurred in 27% of patients with a score of 5 or greater.
- Patients with ABCD scores of 5 and 6 faced significantly higher 7-day stroke risks (12.1% and 31.4%, respectively) compared to those with scores <5 (0.4%).
- In the TIA clinic cohort, all patients experiencing stroke before their appointment had an ABCD score of 4 or greater.
Conclusions:
- The 7-day risk of stroke following TIA is highly predictable using the ABCD score.
- The ABCD score is a valuable tool for routine clinical practice, enabling identification of high-risk individuals requiring immediate investigation and treatment.
- Further validation and refinement of the ABCD score are recommended for broader clinical application.
Background:
Effective early management of patients with transient ischaemic attacks (TIA) is undermined by an inability to predict who is at highest early risk of stroke.
Methods:
We derived a score for 7-day risk of stroke in a population-based cohort of patients (n=209) with a probable or definite TIA (Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project; OCSP), and validated the score in a similar population-based cohort (Oxford Vascular Study; OXVASC, n=190). We assessed likely clinical usefulness to front-line health services by using the score to stratify all patients with suspected TIA referred to OXVASC (n=378, outcome: 7-day risk of stroke) and to a hospital-based weekly TIA clinic (n=210; outcome: risk of stroke before appointment).
Results:
A six-point score derived in the OCSP (age [> or =60 years=1], blood pressure [systolic >140 mm Hg and/or diastolic > or =90 mm Hg=1], clinical features [unilateral weakness=2, speech disturbance without weakness=1, other=0], and duration of symptoms in min [> or =60=2, 10-59=1, <10=0]; ABCD) was highly predictive of 7-day risk of stroke in OXVASC patients with probable or definite TIA (p<0.0001), in the OXVASC population-based cohort of all referrals with suspected TIA (p<0.0001), and in the hospital-based weekly TIA clinic-referred cohort (p=0.006). In the OXVASC suspected TIA cohort, 19 of 20 (95%) strokes occurred in 101 (27%) patients with a score of 5 or greater: 7-day risk was 0.4% (95% CI 0-1.1) in 274 (73%) patients with a score less than 5, 12.1% (4.2-20.0) in 66 (18%) with a score of 5, and 31.4% (16.0-46.8) in 35 (9%) with a score of 6. In the hospital-referred clinic cohort, 14 (7.5%) patients had a stroke before their scheduled appointment, all with a score of 4 or greater.
Conclusions:
Risk of stroke during the 7 days after TIA seems to be highly predictable. Although further validations and refinements are needed, the ABCD score can be used in routine clinical practice to identify high-risk individuals who need emergency investigation and treatment.
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