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Prognostic clinical variables in childhood tuberculous meningitis: an experience from Mumbai, India
Sunil Karande1, Vishal Gupta, Madhuri Kulkarni
1Department of Pediatrics, Lokmanya Tilak Municipal Medical College and General Hospital, Sion, Mumbai, India. karandesunil@yahoo.com
Insights
Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) in children poses significant risks. Hypertonia predicts long-term disability in survivors, while deep coma indicates a higher mortality risk in TBM patients.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) remains a critical cause of mortality and neurological impairment in children in India.
- Early identification of prognostic factors is crucial for managing childhood TBM.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine clinical variables that predict outcomes in pediatric tuberculous meningitis.
- To identify predictors of survival with disability and mortality in childhood TBM.
Main Methods:
- A prospective observational study was conducted at a tertiary teaching hospital.
- 123 children with TBM were analyzed for 36 clinical variables.
- Outcomes were assessed as complete recovery, survival with disability, or death.
Main Results:
- 20% of children recovered fully, 57% survived with disability, and 23% died.
- Nine variables correlated with survival with disability, including neurological deficits and hydrocephalus.
- Deep coma was associated with both survival with disability and fatal outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Hypertonia at admission independently predicts neurological sequelae in surviving children with TBM.
- Deep coma is an independent predictor of mortality in pediatric TBM cases.
Background:
In India, tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is still a major cause of neurological disabilities and death.
Aim:
To identify the clinical variables which predict the outcome in childhood TBM.
Setting:
Tertiary teaching hospital.
Design:
Prospective observational study.
Materials And Methods:
Thirty-six clinical variables were analyzed in 123 consecutive children with TBM admitted between May 2000 and August 2003. The outcome was assessed in terms of survival or death. Survival meant that the patient was discharged from hospital having made a complete recovery, or with disability.
Results:
Twenty-five (20%) children recovered completely, 70 (57%) survived with disability, and 28 (23%) died. Employing univariate analysis nine variables correlated with survival with disability outcome: presence of tonic motor posturing, cranial nerve palsy, focal neurological deficit, hypertonia, moderate to severe hydrocephalus, cerebral infarction on cranial CT, and requiring shunt surgery, and absence of extracranial tuberculosis and no antituberculous-related hepatotoxicity; two variables correlated with fatal outcome: presence of deep coma (Glasgow coma scale score P = 0.012, d.f. = 1, OR 0.12, 95% CI 0.02-0.62) correlated with survival with disability outcome, and presence of deep coma (P = 0.030, d.f. = 1, OR 0.35, 95% CI 0.14-0.90) with fatal outcome.
Conclusion:
In children with TBM, the presence of hypertonia at admission is an independent predictor of neurological sequelae in survivors, and deep coma is an independent predictor of mortality.
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