Ventilator-associated pneumonia in a tertiary care ICU: analysis of risk factors for acquisition and mortality

To investigate the incidence, risk factors and mortality of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients.

Prospective, observational, population-based study.

The medical (14-bed) and surgical ICU (26-bed) of the Ghent University Hospital.

All 1295 patients admitted to the ICU during 4 three-month periods between 1996 and 1998 were included. A set of demographic and clinical variables were collected at the day of admission and during the ICU course.

The incidence of VAP among ICU patients ventilated at least 48 hours was 23.1%. The mean time to the development of VAP was 9.6 days with a median of 6 days. In the population of patients ventilated for at least 48 hours, a comparison was made between patients with (n = 89) and without VAP (n = 296). Patients with VAP had a significant longer ICU stay, with a longer ventilation dependency. Logistic regression analysis identified admission diagnosis other than trauma (OR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.29-0.89; p = 0.02) and the length of ICU stay (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03-1.07; p < 0.001) to be independently associated with the acquisiton of VAP. In comparison with the total study population, patients with VAP had a higher ICU mortality (20.2% vs. 12.0%; p = 0.04), but not in the cohort group of patients at risk for VAP (ventilated > 48 hours)(20.2% vs. 31.3%; p = 0.03). The factors independently associated with death were higher SAPS II scores (OR 1.02, 95% CI: 1.003-1.032; p = 0.02), an admission diagnosis other than trauma (OR 0.36, 95% CI: 0.17-0.75; p = 0.006) and length of ICU stay (OR 0.97, 95% CI: 0.946-0.995; p = 0.02). This model did not recognize VAP as an independent predictor of death (OR 0.79, 95% CI: 0.41-1.53; p = 0.492).

The incidence of VAP in our ICU is 23.1%. Length of ICU stay and an admission diagnosis other than trauma are major risk factors for the development of this nosocomial infection. VAP is associated with a high fatality rate. However, after adjustment for disease severity and length of ICU stay, VAP was not identified as an independent predictor of death.