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A clinical decision rule for management of streptococcal pharyngitis in low-resource settings
Mark C Steinhoff1, Christa Fischer Walker, Anne W Rimoin
1Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA. msteinho@jhsph.edu
Insights
A new clinical prediction rule for group A beta-hemolytic streptococcal (GABHS) pharyngitis accurately identifies over 90% of infections in children. This rule can reduce unnecessary antibiotic use by 40% in resource-limited settings.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Diagnostics
Background:
- Many children globally lack access to laboratory facilities for diagnosing streptococcal pharyngitis.
- Clinical prediction rules can aid antibiotic therapy decisions and reduce unnecessary treatments in resource-limited areas.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a clinical prediction rule for group A beta-hemolytic streptococcal (GABHS) pharyngitis in children.
- To assess the rule's utility in settings without laboratory diagnostics.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study of 410 children (2-12 years) with sore throat in Cairo, Egypt.
- Bivariate and multivariate analyses to identify diagnostic signs and symptoms.
- Development of a cumulative score using key clinical variables.
Main Results:
- 24.6% of children had positive GABHS cultures.
- Pharyngeal exudate, enlarged cervical lymph nodes, season, absence of rash, cough, or rhinitis were associated with GABHS.
- A three-variable rule (enlarged nodes, no rash, no rhinitis) achieved 92% sensitivity and 38% specificity.
Conclusions:
- The developed three-variable clinical prediction rule for GABHS is a valuable tool for settings lacking laboratory diagnostics.
- The rule identifies over 90% of true GABHS cases.
- Implementation can decrease antibiotic prescriptions for GABHS-negative pharyngitis by approximately 40%.
Background:
Most of the world's children live in regions where laboratory facilities are not available. In these regions, clinical prediction rules can be useful to guide clinicians' decisions on antibiotic therapy for streptococcal pharyngitis, and to reduce routine presumptive antibiotic therapy for all pharyngitis.
Methods:
Prospective cohort study to assess diagnostic signs and develop a prediction rule. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were used to develop clinical rules. Participants were 410 children in Cairo, Egypt, aged from 2 to 12 y, presenting with complaint of sore throat and whose parents provided consent. Main outcome measures included presence of signs and symptoms, and positive group A beta hemolytic streptococcal (GABHS) culture.
Results:
101 (24.6%) children had positive GABHS culture. Pharyngeal exudate, tender or enlarged anterior cervical lymph nodes, season, absence of rash, or cough or rhinitis were associated with positive culture in bivariate and multivariate analyses. Three variables (enlarged nodes, no rash, no rhinitis), when used in a cumulative score, showed 92% sensitivity and 38% specificity in these children.
Conclusions:
The proposed three-variable clinical prediction rule for GABHS may be useful when diagnostic laboratories are not available. In this setting, the rule identified more than 90% of true cases. Compared to universal treatment of all pharyngitis, the rule will reduce antibiotic use in GABHS-negative cases by about 40%.
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