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Updated: Jul 14, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
What does mathematical modeling tell us about harm reduction?
1Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213-3890, USA.
Abstract:
This paper argues, primarily by example, that mathematical modeling can contribute to harm reduction-orientated drug policy making in three ways: by contributing to quantitative evaluations of effectiveness, by improving data and understanding of the underlying drug-related phenomena, and by encouraging precise thinking about the goals and objectives of harm reduction.
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