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Dichotomizing continuous predictors in multiple regression: a bad idea
Patrick Royston1, Douglas G Altman, Willi Sauerbrei
1MRC Clinical Trials Unit, 222 Euston Road, London NW1 2DA, UK. patrick.royston@ctu.mrc.ac.uk
Abstract:
In medical research, continuous variables are often converted into categorical variables by grouping values into two or more categories. We consider in detail issues pertaining to creating just two groups, a common approach in clinical research. We argue that the simplicity achieved is gained at a cost; dichotomization may create rather than avoid problems, notably a considerable loss of power and residual confounding. In addition, the use of a data-derived 'optimal' cutpoint leads to serious bias. We illustrate the impact of dichotomization of continuous predictor variables using as a detailed case study a randomized trial in primary biliary cirrhosis. Dichotomization of continuous data is unnecessary for statistical analysis and in particular should not be applied to explanatory variables in regression models.
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