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Hydra, a Computer-Based Platform for Aiding Clinicians in Cardiovascular Analysis and Diagnosis
Published on: September 26, 2018
[Total risk for cardiovascular disease. At what point is medical prophylactic medication useful?]
1Klinische Kardiologie II, Herz-Zentrum Bad Krozingen, Südring 15, 79189 Bad Krozingen, Germany. helmut.gohlke@herzzentrum.de
Insights
Calculating the number needed to treat (NNT) helps determine when to initiate medical treatment for coronary artery disease. An NNT below 200 is acceptable for primary prevention, guiding clinical decisions.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Medical Decision Making
Context:
- Coronary artery disease (CAD) poses significant epidemiological risk, yet individual cardiovascular events are infrequent.
- Uncertainty exists regarding the optimal timing for initiating medical treatment in cardiovascular disease prevention.
- Risk factor modification yields relative risk reduction, but absolute benefit depends on global risk assessment.
Purpose:
- To explore the utility of global risk stratification and the number needed to treat (NNT) in guiding preventive medical interventions for cardiovascular disease.
- To establish a framework for decision-making in primary prevention of cardiovascular events.
Summary:
- Global cardiovascular risk can be estimated using various scoring systems.
- The number needed to treat (NNT) quantifies the benefit of preventive strategies, calculated from global risk and expected relative risk reduction.
- An NNT of less than 200 is considered acceptable for primary prevention, achievable with pharmacological strategies when 10-year global risk is 20% or higher.
Impact:
- Risk stratification using NNT is crucial for informed decisions on initiating preventive treatments.
- Age is a key predictor influencing treatment necessity at comparable risk factor levels.
- This approach aids clinicians in optimizing preventive care for cardiovascular disease.
Abstract:
Despite the epidemiological importance of coronary artery disease: cardiovascular events are rare from the individual viewpoint. There is considerable uncertainty when to start medical treatment. A given risk factor modification results in a relative risk reduction independent of the global risk. Therefore the global risk determines the absolute benefit of a preventive measure. The global risk can be estimated using different scoring systems. Using the global risk and the expected relative risk reduction, the number needed to treat (NNT) to avoid one event or cardiac death can be calculated. The NNT is a measure for the usefulness of a preventive intervention. A NNT of <200 appears acceptable for primary prevention. This can be achieved with pharmacological preventive strategies if the global risk of 10 years is > or =20%. As age is one of the most important risk predictors the need for treatment at comparable risk factor constellations is age dependent. Risk stratification with estimation of the NNT is therefore important for the decision to treat or not to treat.
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