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Does reducing infant mortality depend on preventing low birthweight? An analysis of temporal trends in the Americas
Michael S Kramer1, Fernando C Barros, Kitaw Demissie
1Departments of Pediatrics and of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McGill University Faculty of Medicine, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. michael.kramer@mcgill.ca
Insights
Reducing infant mortality is achievable for all countries, even with varying low birthweight (LBW) rates. Improving care for both normal and low birthweight infants is key, not solely focusing on reducing LBW.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Demography
- Neonatal Medicine
Background:
- Low birthweight (LBW) is a significant risk factor for infant mortality, with high LBW rates often correlating with high infant mortality rates.
- Understanding the relationship between LBW trends and infant mortality is crucial for public health interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare temporal trends in low birthweight (LBW) with infant mortality across different birthweight categories in five countries.
- To analyze the association between LBW and infant mortality over time and assess the impact of LBW on overall infant mortality reduction.
Main Methods:
- Utilized national population-based vital statistics from the United States, Canada, Argentina, Chile, and Uruguay for two periods: 1985-89 and 1995-98.
- Employed cohort and cross-sectional analyses to examine temporal trends and associations between LBW and infant mortality.
Main Results:
- Infant mortality decreased significantly across all birthweight categories in all five countries, irrespective of changes in LBW rates.
- The association between LBW and infant mortality weakened over time, and the proportion of infant deaths among LBW infants was negatively correlated with overall infant mortality.
- Countries reduced infant mortality by improving care for all infants, not primarily by reducing LBW.
Conclusions:
- Developed and less developed countries in the Americas have successfully reduced infant mortality through comprehensive care strategies.
- While not directly generalizable, these findings suggest that improving care for both normal and low birthweight infants can substantially lower infant mortality globally.
- Reducing LBW is not the sole driver for decreasing infant mortality; overall infant care improvements are paramount.
Abstract:
Low birthweight (LBW) is highly associated with death during infancy, and countries with the highest LBW rates also have the highest infant mortality rates. We compared temporal trends in LBW with both overall and birthweight-specific infant mortality in United States, Canada, Argentina, Chile, and Uruguay over two time periods, using cohort and cross-sectional analysis of national population-based vital statistics for 1985-89 and 1995-98. Infant mortality diminished substantially (RR = 0.60-0.80 for the later vs. earlier periods) and to a similar degree in all birthweight categories in all five study countries, despite an increase in LBW in the US and Uruguay, minimal changes in Canada and Argentina, and a decrease in Chile. The strength of the (positive) association between LBW and overall infant mortality diminished over the two time periods (from r(s) = +0.80 to +0.25 and RR per SD increase in LBW rate from 2.13 [2.09, 2.17] to 1.76 [1.74, 1.79]). The proportion of infant deaths occurring among LBW infants was negatively correlated with overall infant mortality in both time periods (r(s) = -0.30 and -0.60, RR = 0.68 [0.67, 0.68] and 0.47 [0.46, 0.47]). Developed and less developed countries in the Americas have succeeded in reducing infant mortality in all birthweight groups despite inconsistent changes in LBW rates, and none has achieved this success primarily by reducing LBW. Although our results are not necessarily generalisable to the least developed countries in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, it is likely that all countries can substantially reduce their infant mortality rates by improving the care of infants at normal and low birthweights.
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