Prognostic characteristics of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in heart failure: comparing American and European models
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Updated: Aug 14, 2026

Exercise Test for Evaluation of the Functional Efficacy of the Pig Cardiovascular System
Published on: May 12, 2023
Ross Arena1, Marco Guazzi, Jonathan Myers
1Department of Physical Therapy, Virginia Commonwealth University, Health Sciences Campus, Richmond, Virginia, USA. raarena@vcu.edu
Background:
Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) in the heart failure population is a standard of care in both American and European clinics, although the mode of exercise typically differs. The purpose of the present study was to compare the prognostic characteristics of peak oxygen consumption (VO2) and the minute ventilation-carbon dioxide production (VE/VCO2) slope between two independent heart failure groups.
Design And Methods:
One hundred and two subjects underwent maximal exercise CPET using bicycle ergometry at San Paolo Hospital in Milan, Italy (SPH) and 105 subjects underwent treadmill CPET at Virginia Commonwealth University in Richmond, Virginia (VCU). Subjects were tracked for cardiac-related mortality for a 1-year period after CPET.
Results:
There were 13 cardiac-related deaths over the 1-year tracking period in both groups. Optimal prognostic threshold values for peak VO2 were 12.9 ml O2/kg per min (sensitivity 81%, specificity 69%) in the SPH group and 12.0 ml O2/kg per min (sensitivity 74%, specificity 69%) in the VCU group. An optimal prognostic threshold value for the VE/VCO2 slope was 34.4 in the SPH (sensitivity 61%, specificity 85%) and 34.5 in the VCU (sensitivity 64%, specificity 93%) groups.
Discussion:
The prognostic characteristics of peak VO2 and the VE/VCO2 slope were similar between the two centers. These results suggest that the mode of exercise does not greatly impact the prognostic utility of CPET responses in heart failure. They further suggest that prognostic guidelines for the application of CPET in heart failure may be applied globally, irrespective of differences in testing modality.
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Exercise Stress Test
Exercise stress testing, commonly known as a treadmill test, is a noninvasive procedure used to evaluate cardiovascular function and diagnose heart conditions.
Definition
An exercise stress test measures the heart's response to exertion using a treadmill or stationary bicycle. Chest electrodes record the heart's electrical activity through an ECG, and blood pressure is monitored regularly.
Purposes

