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Related Experiment Videos

Do conditional cash transfers influence migration? A study using experimental data from the Mexican PROGRESA program.

Guy Stecklov1, Paul Winters, Marco Stampini

  • 1Department of Sociology and Anthropology, Mount Scopus Campus, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel. stecklov@mscc.huji.ac.il

Demography
|February 9, 2006
PubMed
Summary

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Conditional cash transfers from Mexico's PROGRESA program reduced migration to the United States but not domestic migration. This poverty-reduction strategy may help manage rural out-migration, independent of existing social networks.

Area of Science:

  • Socioeconomics
  • Migration Studies
  • Development Economics

Background:

  • Social networks and economic incentives are key drivers of migration decisions.
  • Empirical studies on migration face challenges in establishing causal validity.
  • Mexico's PROGRESA program offers conditional cash transfers to reduce poverty.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the causal impact of conditional cash transfers on domestic and international migration.
  • To analyze the role of migration networks in the context of conditional cash transfer programs.
  • To assess the effectiveness of PROGRESA in influencing migration patterns.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized experimental data from PROGRESA, a large-scale poverty-reduction program in Mexico.
  • Employed pre- and post-program data analysis to establish causal links.

Related Experiment Videos

  • Investigated the interaction between conditional transfers and existing family/community migration networks.
  • Main Results:

    • Conditional cash transfers significantly reduced migration to the United States.
    • No significant effect of conditional transfers on domestic migration was observed.
    • Migration networks strongly influence migration, but their role does not mediate the effect of conditional transfers.

    Conclusions:

    • Conditional cash transfers can be an effective tool for managing international migration, specifically to the U.S.
    • The impact of these transfers on migration is not dependent on pre-existing migration network structures.
    • PROGRESA's conditional cash transfers show potential for mitigating rural out-migration.