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LNG decision making approaches compared.

Robin Pitblado1, John Baik, Vijay Raghunathan

  • 1DNV Consulting Inc., Houston, TX 77084, USA. robin.pitblado@lr.org

Journal of Hazardous Materials
|February 17, 2006
PubMed
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This study introduces a maximum credible event approach for assessing liquefied natural gas (LNG) hazard zones, offering a framework to evaluate modeling conservatism in terminal development.

Area of Science:

  • Chemical Engineering
  • Risk Assessment
  • Environmental Safety

Background:

  • Hazard zone assessments for liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal development are contentious.
  • Discussions often focus on worst-case scenarios, leading to debates in regulatory processes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To present results from a maximum credible event (MCE) approach for LNG hazard zone analysis.
  • To compare different modeling approaches used in the industry.
  • To propose a set of base cases for evaluating modeling conservatism.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a maximum credible event (MCE) approach.
  • Compared results from multiple hazard modeling tools.
  • Reviewed existing experimental data and literature findings.

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Main Results:

  • The MCE approach provides a structured method for hazard zone assessment.
  • Model comparisons reveal variations in predicted hazard zones.
  • A proposed set of base cases aids in assessing modeling conservatism.

Conclusions:

  • The MCE approach offers a valuable interim solution for LNG hazard zone assessment.
  • Further large-scale experimental trials are needed to reduce uncertainty.
  • The proposed base cases can help users evaluate the conservatism of selected models.