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Updated: Aug 8, 2026

A High-Throughput Multiplexed Screening for Type 1 Diabetes, Celiac Diseases, and COVID-19
Published on: July 5, 2022
What determines the cost-effectiveness of diabetes screening?
1Medical Research Council Epidemiology Unit, Elsie Widdowson Laboratories, 120 Fulbourn Road, Cambridge, CB1 9NL, UK.
Cost-effectiveness of diabetes screening remains uncertain due to unknown treatment effects. Further research is needed to clarify these uncertainties and inform policy decisions on screening for diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
Area of Science:
- Health economics
- Epidemiology
- Clinical decision analysis
Background:
- The cost-effectiveness of diabetes screening is not well-established.
- Previous models have not adequately addressed uncertainty.
- Cardiovascular disease (CHD) risk is a key outcome for diabetes management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To model the cost-effectiveness of diabetes screening, incorporating uncertainty.
- To identify key parameters influencing cost-effectiveness, particularly CHD risk reduction.
Main Methods:
- Utilized population data from the Danish Inter99 study.
- Simulated a theoretical population of 1,000,000 individuals.
- Employed probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses to assess uncertainty in CHD risk and treatment effects using the UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) risk engine.
Main Results:
- The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio varied widely (95% CI £23,300-£82,000) in the least conservative model.
- Uncertainty was primarily driven by treatment risk reduction parameters and the UKPDS risk model intercept.
- Cost-effectiveness was not sensitive to screening group selection or costs, but strongly influenced by treatment combination assumptions.
Conclusions:
- Significant uncertainty exists regarding the cost-effectiveness of diabetes screening.
- The impact of treatment on risk reduction is the most critical and uncertain parameter.
- Health care modeling can pinpoint areas for future research to resolve policy-relevant uncertainties.
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