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Life-years-gained from population risk factor changes and modern cardiology treatments in Ireland
Zubair Kabir1, Kathleen Bennett, Emer Shelley
1Department of Pharmacology & Therapeutics, Trinity College & St. James's Hospital Dublin, Ireland. kabirzin@yahoo.com
Insights
Coronary heart disease (CHD) treatments and risk factor changes in Ireland significantly increased life expectancy. Reductions in cholesterol and smoking yielded more life-years gained than medical interventions alone.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular epidemiology
- Public health policy
- Health economics
Background:
- Coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in Ireland have decreased significantly since the mid-1980s.
- Adult life expectancy in Ireland has shown a steady improvement.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the life-years gained from CHD treatments.
- To quantify the impact of changes in cardiovascular risk factor levels on life-years gained.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Irish IMPACT CHD mortality model.
- Integrated data on patient numbers, treatment uptake, risk factor trends, treatment effectiveness, and survival rates.
- Stratified analyses by age and sex, with sensitivity analyses performed.
Main Results:
- Approximately 44,060 life-years were gained among individuals aged 25-84 between 1985 and 2000.
- Cardiology treatments contributed around 14,505 life-years.
- Risk factor reductions, particularly in cholesterol and smoking, accounted for approximately 32,705 life-years, with cholesterol reduction being the largest contributor.
Conclusions:
- Modern cardiology treatments have substantially increased life-years in Ireland.
- Risk factor reduction strategies have proven more effective in gaining life-years than treatments alone.
- Future health gains depend on effective public health policies promoting healthy diets, weight reduction, and smoking cessation.
Background:
Coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in Ireland have halved since the mid-1980s, and adult life expectancy has also steadily improved. This study estimated the life-years-gained by CHD treatments and by changes in cardiovascular risk factor levels.
Methods:
A previously validated Irish IMPACT CHD mortality model was used to integrate large amounts of data on (i) patient numbers, (ii) treatment uptake, (iii) risk factor trends, (iv) effectiveness of cardiology treatments and risk factor reductions, and (v) median survival in patients with and without CHD, all stratified by age and sex. Results were tested in rigorous sensitivity analyses.
Results:
There were 3763 fewer CHD deaths than expected in 2000 compared with the base year, 1985. This resulted in approximately 44,060 life-years-gained among people aged 25-84. Specific medical and surgical treatments given in 2000 for CHD patients together gained approximately 14,505 life-years. Population changes in cholesterol and smoking levels accounted for some 32,705 life-years-gained, 66% from reductions in cholesterol alone. Adverse changes in obesity and diabetes resulted in a loss of approximately 3670 life-years.
Conclusions:
Use of modern cardiology treatments in Ireland from 1985 to 2000 gained many thousands of life-years. However, twice as many life-years were generated by relatively modest reductions in major risk factors. Effective policies, such as the promotion of healthy diets, and weight reduction, together with the recent nationwide workplace smoking ban, will be essential to maintain and further enhance health gain.
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